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Exploiting While Exploring: An Introduction to Bayesian Optimization
Definitions and Side Notes If this is new to you, let’s define what a hyperparameter is versus a more familiar ... space, we use a surrogate model to model our model’s hyperparameters. Specifically, we choose a Gaussian ...- Authors: Nicholas Hanewinckel
- Date: Jun 2021
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools
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SOA Launches Predictive Analytics Initiative
SOA Launches Predictive Analytics Initiative Description of SOA's initiative in ... Predictive Analytics Initiative Description of SOA's initiative in predictive analytics Advanced Business ...- Authors: Ian G Duncan
- Date: Dec 2015
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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Delphi Study In Real Time
DECEMBER 2013 Delphi Study in Real Time—Life and Annuity Products and Product Development By Paula Hodges ... will see the largest amount of growth in the annuity space. With the aging of the current field force ...- Authors: Paula Hodges
- Date: Dec 2013
- Competency: Leadership>Professional network leverage; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Annuities>Marketing and distribution - Annuities; Annuities>Product development - Annuities
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Explainable AI
Explainable AI Machine learning models are not black-boxes; these models can easily be interpreted using ... generated. This article demonstrates their use in a mortality model. 11/18/2020 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Carlos Brioso
- Date: Nov 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Technology & Applications
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Can't win for losing
Can't win for losing The winner's curse, applied to Affordable Care Act plan ... Can't win for losing The winner's curse, applied to Affordable Care Act plan pricing. strategic ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks
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Forecasting & Futurism Newsletter - December 2013 - Issue 8
Snell N E W S L E T T E R &Futurism Forecasting 36 Delphi Study in Real Time— Life and Annuity Products ... 2 | FORECASTING & FUTURISM DECEMBER 2013 N E W S L E T T E R &Futurism Forecasting ISSUE 8 | DECEMBER ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Dec 2013
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Should Actuaries Get Another Job?
Should Actuaries Get Another Job? This is an article that discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s ... is an article that discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s work and its significance for actuaries. 9328 9/1/2009 ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future
Futures Research Technique for Forecasting Selected U.S. Economic Variables and Determining Rationales for ... judgments about the long range (20 year) values of four U.S. economic variables: 1. Annual increase in the ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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How to Get Started in Predictive Analytics
Actuaries” by Alan Mills. Alan put together a handy table listing common forecasting approaches in actuarial ... life insurance—have discrete u/w classes as opposed to more continuous u/w; • might want to classify ...- Authors: Mary Campbell
- Date: Dec 2015
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics
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White, Gray and Black Swans
can be highly complex.2 Figure 1 shows that the U.S. health care system in general, and its consumer ... particular, is more complex than several other U.S. eco- nomic systems: to determine the agents involved ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Health & Disability