Description: Random sum models with compound distributions are used extensively in modeling of insurance risks. Unfortunately, the compound distributions themselves are awkward to evaluate. Consequently, various numerical and analytical approximative techniques have been used. In this talk we derive various upper and lower bounds on the tails of compound distributions. Some notions in reliability theory are used.

Description: These are the abstract and reference of the paper 'Bounds on Multiple Contingent Claims'. Lo considered the problem on bounding a European option on a single asset. He obtained an upper bound on the payoff of the European call in terms of the mean and variance of the underlying asset. In this talk, we extend Lo's result to the multi-asset case. Unlike the one asset case, the correlations between the assets play an important role and have to be taken into consideration.

Description: Excerpts from Yee's presentation on the S-Curve reserve for Universal life. The S-Curve represents a distribution of amount of assets needed under 550 scenarios which, together with future premiums, will fund all future policy benefits and expenses. The reserve is a specific point on the Curve.

Description: This is the abstract of the paper 'Pricing of Credit Derivatives'. This talk will give an overview of current pricing techniques. We first show how to build a credit curve. A credit curve gives the instantaneous default probability of a party at any time in the future. It is as important to credit derivative pricing as the yield curve is to fixed income derivative pricing.

Description: This paper argues that the self-financing axiom with mild assumptions on the conditional expected returns yields a market with an eventual arbitrage. This is accomplished by minimizing the conditional variance of a trade when the conditional expectation is a fixed constant. Examples with common processes shows that most models yield an eventual arbitrage. As a final application, a cost model is applied to prices of stripped coupon and principal payments on U.S. government bonds, where rates of return are estimated and lower bounds on market costs given.

Description: After reading the Panjer-Bellhouse paper in the Proceedings of the Ball State University Conference, I wondered whether their technique could be used when a realistic investment process was assumed. I believe that such an extension is necessary if the theory is to have any practical application I have had little success in trying to do this. I have decided to present some thoughts and to invite others with different perspectives to bring them to fruition.

Description: The yield rate is that effective rate of interest at which the present value of his expenditures is equal to the present value of his returns. This paper encourages students of Theory of Interest class to try to approach yield rate problems by starting with the definition of yield found in Steve Kellison's text.

Description: While we agree with the conclusions expressed by Silver and Hedges The Classical Definition of Compound Interest is Adequate by Murray Silver and Bob Hedges, ARCH 1981.2, we do not believe the theorem follows from the stated Axiom. We present an alternative proof which uses only the accumulation function and not the force of interest.

Description: An insurance company starts with an initial surplus, collects premium, pays claims to policyholders and pays dividends to stockholders. What remains is the following year’s surplus. The process continues. This paper describes how to calculate the distribution of surplus for any given year. With these distributions, one can make the calculations of premiums and dividends.

Description: In a recent Society of Actuaries' regional meeting, there was a discussion on an age-old actuarial problem. Within the same company, should the return on equity ROE target vary by profit center depending upon the risk of the profit center? For example, should company management demand a different ROE from the Group Health line than from the Ordinary Life line?