Description: This article discusses the reliance the banking industry placed on sophisticated mathematical models.

Description: This presentation is a Teaching Session, number 3, from the 1987 Valuation Actuary Symposium. The first instructor discusses three methods of valuation [and methods of studying C-3 risk]: Gross Premium Valuation [the actuary’s traditional approach], Cash Flow Analysis, and Market Value Analysis, also known as ‘Modern Financial Analysis,’ with a focus on the third. Then the second instructor provides an update on C-2 risk [claims, expenses], and combinations of risk, noting that C-2 risk has not had much attention paid to it. He goes on to describe three types of C-2 risk: stochastic deviations, unpredictable single events, and ‘judgment errors, such as poor underwriting. The third instructor focuses on the C-1 [default] risk. Case studies are included.

Description: This session from the 1993 Valuation Actuary Symposium discusses the growth and deterioration of commercial mortgages and the modeling of commercial mortgages, real estate and CMO's.

Description: There is widespread acknowledgement in the insurance industry that cyber risk remains an untamed and seemingly ever-growing beast. It is also unique in the family of risk exposures faced by insurers in that it is both an emerging risk and an emerged risk. What are companies doing to keep on top of this risk? What are actuaries doing to contribute to cyber risk management, and what can we learn from other industries and disciplines?

Description: This is a short story on the retirement income calculator.

Description: The Financial Reporting and Product Development Sections, along with the Committee on Life Insurance Research are pleased to make the following report available. Prepared by Bruce Rosner of Ernst & Young, the report summarizes the findings of a stochastic modeling efficiency study. With the help of twelve life insurance and annuity companies, the study tested six techniques for reducing the number of model points or scenarios required to achieve a given level of precision in stochastic actuarial modeling.

Description: This abstract describes a paper that proposes a multi-population Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) mortality model, in which the joint mortality dynamics of all populations are formulated in a large vector autoregression model with a set of contemporaneous global mortality factors.

Description: Article from The Actuary, April 1972 – volume 6 - Issue 4 talks about econometrics, the serious attempts to advance forecasting from an art to a science.

Description: Feature article discussing what American actuaries can learn from their European counterparts about actuarial modeling.

Description: This article considers considers how the assumptions and statistical methods used to analyze investments are likely to change as a result of the events of Black Monday, October 19, 1987.