Description: Read the August 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics and Futurism published by the Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section. Newsletter provide practical information for the working actuary, articles on trends that impact sections and news about section activities.

Description: The Modeling Section, Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section, Committee on Life Insurance Research, Product Development Section and Reinsurance Section releases a report that can help to educate actuaries on how best to implement predictive modeling into relevant areas of actuarial practice. This report includes a review of existing literature and current industry practices, as well as a comprehensive set of considerations for predictive modeling in insurance applications.

Description: This project obtains ensemble simulations of surface atmospheric temperature over North America.

Description: An attorney and a statistician will discuss the latest on GenAI, the AI regulation and litigation affecting the use of AI in insurance. Some of the topics that will be covered include: How generative AI works, Risks of generative AI systems, Use cases for AI, Regulatory trends, Litigation trends

Description: Describes the predictive analytics revolution taking place in the insurance industry

Description: Feature article discussing futurism and a study that contains in-depth descriptions of the Delphi and TIA methods; listings of the rationales and thought processes, the plausible future developments that could influence the values of these four economic variables and the resulting “fan of possibilities” for the values of these variables

Description: Learn more about the predictive modeling that was applied to industry data for the lapse and mortality experience in the post-level term period. Novel approaches were taken to model the shock lapse, subsequent lapse, and mortality experience. Observe a demonstration of the Tableau tool, which was built to allow users to analyze data on their own.

Description: Reflection on three years on the PAF section council and where we're headed next.

Description: Crop insurance plays an important role in mitigating food production disasters and keeping a robust food production system in the United States. Crop insurance increases stability in food and fiber production, smoothing variability which would otherwise occur because of weather patterns and changes in international trade regulations and markets. Stability increases the ability of farmers to make long-term investments that increase production efficiency and keep productive land in agriculture.

Description: This article provides an overview of activities that should be considered by an actuary when validating a predictive model. It describes several components to consider when validating a predictive model and provides an examination of various methodologies that can be implemented in the validation process.