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Living with Actuarial Black Swans—A Discussion with Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Living with Actuarial Black Swans—A Discussion with Nassim Nicholas Taleb At the 2009 SOA Annual Meeting in Boston, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shared some thoughts on Black Swans, operating in the ...- Authors: Benjamin Steward Wadsley
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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To Be Continued/Econometric Forecasting
To Be Continued/Econometric Forecasting Article from The Actuary, April 1972 – volume 6 - Issue 4 talks about econometrics, the serious attempts to advance forecasting from an art to a science.- Authors: J Robert Ferrari
- Date: Apr 1972
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Actuarial Model Component Design
Actuarial Model Component Design The article describes the key components of actuarial model, leading practices in designing them, and characteristics of well-built models. Asset modeling; ...- Authors: Bill Cember, Jeffrey Yoon
- Date: Nov 2017
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Canadian Actuaries Wrestle With Economic Tendencies
Canadian Actuaries Wrestle With Economic Tendencies Consensus of viewpoints from a group discussion on economic forecasting at the March meeting of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries. Inflation; ...- Authors: Ernest J Moorhead
- Date: May 1979
- Competency: Communication; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Leadership>Thought leadership; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Finance & Investments>Investment strategy - Finance & Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Public Policy
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A Demographic Approach to Forecasting Health Insurance Benefit Costs
A Demographic Approach to Forecasting Health Insurance Benefit Costs This is a poster presentation about a study to evaluate various methods for projecting health benefit populations.- Authors: Hallie J Kintner, David A Swanson
- Date: Jul 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Is It Really Different This Time?
Is It Really Different This Time? A look at the COVID-19 crisis in 2020, and how it differs from both prior financial crises and pandemics. The COVID-19 pandemic gives actuaries an opportunity to ...- Authors: Mary Campbell
- Date: Dec 2020
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Mortality Improvement: The Ultimate Onion
Mortality Improvement: The Ultimate Onion Identifies current trends and considerations when setting the mortality improvement assumption for individual life insurance in the US. Life reinsurance; ...- Authors: Jay Biehl, Edward Hui
- Date: Nov 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Reinsurance News
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Demography>Longevity; Demography>Population data; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Pricing - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Reinsurance>Life reinsurance; Reinsurance>General reinsurance
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Economic Aspects Of Medical Care Patterns: Macro And Micro Views
Economic Aspects Of Medical Care Patterns: Macro And Micro Views Presented at April 1986 Spring Meeting. This session discussion is about the techniques for understanding and analyzing trends ...- Authors: Application Administrator, John Cookson, Robert Dobson, Mikel T Gray, Raymond F McCaskey, Donald E Sanning
- Date: Apr 1986
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting This paper outlines a method of parametric modeling that may be used to produce forecasts and forecast intervals that will convey a measure of the reliance ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller, Frank Reynolds, Richard W Ziock
- Date: Oct 1973
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
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Why Consider a Delphi Study?
Why Consider a Delphi Study? Describes what a Delphi study is and why actuaries might want to use one. 6442481995 4/1/2018 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Apr 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting