Description: General Session III – The Ageing Process: From New Technology to New Medicine

Description: The Individual Life Experience Committee has numerous research projects underway. Take a look at three current areas of research: the analysis of the interaction of lapse and mortality experience using data from mandatory submissions; a deep dive into old age mortality; and an update on the committee's work to establish a predictive analytics framework that will be open for all actuaries and data scientists to use. By attending the session, you will: - Better understand the research conducted by the Individual Life Experience Committee. - Better understand the link between lapse and mortality experience, appreciate some of the nuances of older age mortality, and gain knowledge about a predictive analytics framework that will be released in the future.

Description: "COVID-19 and excess mortality: an actuarial study – Camille Delbrouck, Aon Benfield, Belgium, Jennifer Alonso-García, Department of Mathematics, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), UNSW Sydney, Australia Netspar, The Netherlands How did COVID-19 change the dependence structure across major causes of death – Han Li, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Centre for Actuarial Studies | Faculty of Business and Economics, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia"

Description: Navigate a perspective on the process of developing estimates and projections of mortality rates, based on a Living to 100 paper by the teacher. Discover the approach and considerations an actuary (or others) can take to develop a mortality rate assumption for five time periods. It will describe techniques to estimate historical mortality rates from which to project future mortality rates.

Description: Getting people to think beyond retirement about future care needs and how they will be paid for is critical for a healthy aging plan. However, most people avoid the topic and make rushed decisions when finding long-term care services. Hear from experts in this advisory field explain what a successful plan looks like and what it takes to get people to plan ahead.

Description: Discuss changes in group life waiver of premium claim recovery and mortality experience since the 2005 table was released, the development of the 2023 table, and the new statutory valuation standard approved by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).

Description: "Issues surrounding end-of-life and palliative care are not well understood and there is little research in the actuarial literature. From an actuarial perspective, however, end-of-life is important because of the significant cost to the healthcare system. Ian Duncan will discuss some of his research on the financial implications of end-of-life care, as well as the outcomes of a palliative care program. Dr. Matzo is an engaging personality with decades of experience in gerontology and palliative nursing, including training and teaching professionals in the field. Dr. Matzo focuses on educating the public on the importance and benefits of palliative care and hospice (care given in the final six months of life). In this session on “Palliative Care Public Education,” Dr. Matzo will give us an overview of the benefits of palliative care and how this knowledge empowers the individual to make important decisions about their healthcare options. Attendees will have the opportunity to discuss the role that the actuarial profession may play in this area."

Description: "Weighted compositional data analysis for modeling and forecasting life-table death counts – Han Lin Shang, Ph.D., Professor of Business Analytics and Director of Research at the Department of Actuarial Studies and Business Analytics at Macquarie Business School, Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia, Steven Haberman, PhD, Bayes Business School, City University of London, UK Compensation Effect of Mortality as a Challenge to Life Extension – Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D., Leonid A. Gavrilov, Ph.D. Academic Research Centers, NORC at the University of Chicago"

Description: Discuss policyholder behaviors that evolve throughout the life cycle of a typical VA annuitant, with supporting data from industry-level experience studies during this interaction session. The following behavior assumptions and their implication under accounting/regulatory requirements will be covered: - Separate account/fixed account allocation and transfers - Deposits - Surrenders - Withdrawals - Income utilization - Mortality By attending the session, you will: - Identify policyholder behaviors that would transform at different stages of life cycle. - Understand key aspects of industry-level policyholder behavior experience. - Form a dynamic view in the assumption setting.

Description: Are Accelerated Underwriting (AU) programs performing as expected? As mortality experience will (hopefully) be slow to emerge, it is pivotal that we look at alternative methods of monitoring early performance. From random hold outs, to post-issue APS's, and post-issue prescription profiles, explore popular monitoring techniques and lessons learned so far. Focus on confusion matrices that provide an early indication of mortality slippage relative to fluid-based underwriting decisions. Finally, explore statistical methods to determine what constitutes credibility and identify opportunities to think about mortality slippage more robustly.