Description: The impact of Fed’s QE program on the financial markets has been enormous and profound. The tapering and the eventual removal of the stimulus will be equally enormous and profound, and may be disruptive. To adapt to the potential regime change in near future, some investment strategies have been proposed: (1) shorten duration to focus on the short end of the yield curve and create laddered portfolios; (2) reduce allocation to high yield bonds; (3) rotate out interest rate sensitive sectors such as utilities; and (4) use interest rate derivatives to hedge the interest rate uncertainties lying ahead. On the other hand, contrarians who see the QE program continuing may stay the course and consider (1) adding duration, (2) gaining exposure to high yield bonds, and (3) increasing allocation to utilities and telecoms.

Description: This panel discussed studies of the risk of loss due to changes in the interest rate environment. It addressed why the C-3 risk is important and how inflation and stability in interest rates can affect the financial soundness of life insurance companies. There was also a discussion of the theoretical work being carried out to calibrate the C-3 risk of variation in interest rates and to what extent the valuation actuary can properly recognize the risk of loss from changes in the interest rate environment within the framework of valuations laws and regulations.

Description: Presented at May 1986 Spring Meeting. This session discussion is about the purposes, tools and methods available, scenario testing, updating, special issues and problems. This discussion anticipates the development of new Valuation Actuary reserve adequacy opinion requirements.

Description: This presentation made up Sessions 1 and 2 at the 1987 Valuation Actuary Symposium. The presenters discuss cash flow analysis in light of the valuation actuary concept. Asset and liability cash flows are looked at under different economic scenarios. Future interest rates, investment and reinvestment strategy are included in the discussion of scenario generation. Stochastic scenarios and the number of scenarios are discussed.

Description: This presentation is a panel discussion, session number 9PD, from the 2000 Valuation Actuary Symposium, held September 14-15 in Washington, DC. A fundamental assumption in stochastic asset/liability modeling is the underlying economic scenario generator. In this session the panelists discuss various scenario generation techniques, assumptions underlying bond and equity scenario generators, and choosing suitable economic scenario generators for different applications. Discussion from participants is included.

Description: This paper addresses the stochastic modeling for managing asset liability process. We start with developing a jump-diffusion process for evaluating of the liabilities of the insurance company in general. We then formulate the ALM process into a stochastic control problem. With this approach, we present a Bel|man-Dreyfus Fundamental type formula for ALM process in terms of the solution of a system of algebraic equations and partial differential equations.

Description: This Guide lists sources that the actuary may use to gain knowledge on investments and asset/liability management. Its purpose is to make available a preliminary road map for the actuary seeking direction to enhance his or her knowledge in these areas.

Description: Regime switching models have become a popular tool in econometric time series modeling since their introduction in Hamilton [1989].These models have been widely applied for equity-returns for investment guarantees. A prominent risk management challenge is hedging these guarantees, given the equity regime switching process. This presentation develops some methodologies for regime-switching portfolio replication and use real world data to demonstrate and evaluate their effects. A Bayesian approach for regime switching model fitting is used, which allows for the examination of the robustness of each of the optimization methods when parameter uncertainty is present.

Description: Panelists discussed: [1] investment products oriented toward asset/liability matching, [2] asset/liability management [ALM] including the C-1 and C-3 Risks, [3] current ALM practices among life insurance companies, and [4] regulatory developments in this area. From the 1987 Record of Society of Actuaries, Vol. 13, No. 4B.

Description: This session from the 1984 SOA Toronto Meeting discusses the problems and possible solutions arising from the matching or mismatching of assets and liabilities, including valuation and regulatory implications, in a Canadian and U.S. context. From Record of the Society of Actuaries Vol. 10, No. 4B