Description: The 2020 Long-Term Care (LTC) Medical Symposium was a two-day conference that extracted the thinking of leading experts on historical and future trends that will influence LTC insurance (LTCI) claim expectations. The symposium focused on the ideas from experts outside of the LTCI industry for the explicit purpose of gathering fresh perspectives on the issues that LTCI companies face, such as expected timing of new claims onset, length of claim, life expectancy and cost of care. The 2020 symposium built on and complemented the first annual symposium held in 2018 and 2019. The focus in 2020 was on aging of the brain and how technology will impact the future of LTC caregiving. The symposium is not intended to quantify historical or future trends or to be prescriptive or specific about long-term care actuarial assumptions. Rather, the symposium aims to provide the long-term care actuary with environmental context for considering morbidity and other macro factors that may impact LTC experience in the long term.

Description: Reserving and ratemaking calculations are vital to how insurance companies perform financially. Current-day practices for predicting future loss ratio or pure premiums for reserving and ratemaking rates are not based on low prediction errors—mean squared error (MSE) criterion. This report provides mathematically optimal weights that lead to minimum MSE prediction errors, and the formulas are validated using retro-testing with real-world datasets. In this report, two main theorems are discussed, each addressing prediction of future loss ratio or pure premium and improving upon current practices for how rates and reserves are calculated.

Description: This is a discussion about medical care insurance rating including morbidity, impact of group size and underwriting transfer cases. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1965, Vol. 17 Pt. 2, No. 47 AB

Description: This presentation is a panel discussion, session number 34PD, from the 2002 Valuation Actuary Symposium, held September 19-20 in Lake Buena Vista, FL. A fundamental step in stochastic asset/liability modeling is to choose an appropriate underlying economic scenario generator. In this session, panelists discuss various scenario generation techniques and theories, assumptions underlying interest and equity scenario generators, and choosing suitable economic scenario generators for different applications, the two most common being pricing models [for assets and liabilities], and risk analysis models, used for asset/liability management, investment strategy, regulatory solvency, and capital adequacy. Discussion from participants is included.

Description: Medical/Technological Advances

Description: At this session of the 2004 Valuation Actuary Symposium, SEC medical rollforward schedules are reviewed. The background that led to these schedules, i.e. stock analysts attempting to understand earnings results, is presented. Differences in reserving practices among managed care companies are discussed.

Description: This discussion looks at Group Accident and Sickness Insurance and asks the following questions: What loss ratios are expected during 1960 and 1961 under newly determined premium rates for basic medical care, supplementary major medical and comprehensive major medical insurance coverages? What are the design trends under comprehensive major medical insurance coverages? From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1960, Vol. 12, No. 34.

Description: This article was presented at the 1978 SOA Spring Meeting and it addressed how the membership of the Society of Actuaries feels about reorganization of the actuarial profession. Hopefully, the input received here will provide new insights into the difficult problems faced by the reorganization committees of the various actuarial organizations.

Description: This is a panel discussion of underwriting, pricing and societal considerations in insuring risks such as financial guarantees, product and professional liability, workers' compensation benefits, unemployment benefits, and others in a changing social and economic environment.

Description: This session from the 1981 SOA Spring Meeting discusses how the insurance industry will fare under different economic conditions according to an economotric model by Data Resources - DRI. The session also reviews how to incorporate inflation into actuarial calculations and the prospects and possiblities regarding inflation. From Record of Society of Actuaries, Vol. 7, No. 2.