Description: This 1968 report extends last year's 1967 initial study of the morbidity experience by lives under plans with a six-month elimination period by [1] adding an additional year's experience to the table of rates of disablement and [2] developing rates of termination for the early durations following the elimination period. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1968 Reports

Description: This paper shows how a graduation method may be developed as straight forward statistical estimation within a statistical theory based upon personal probability, that is, so-called Bayesian statistics. The method discussed is applicable to a broad range of graduation situations, but does assume the more specific property of the graduator's prior opinion with respect to mortality rates.

Description: The effect on level premium reserves of a change in the interest or mortality basis can often be predicted by the results obtained in Spurgeon's Life Contingencies, Chap. X, pp. 185-190. This note offers formulas to demonstrate the effect of such changes.

Description: This is a discussion of the paper, Frequency Distribution of Mortality Costs by John M. Boermeester, which used a series of random numbers to estimate variables under study.

Description: This is a discussion of the title paper by Robert M. Duncan which outlines the use of a contributory money purchase plan with death benefits, and investments in equities, to fund pensions. The approach is critiqued.

Description: The purpose of this paper is to provide a unified theory for the evaluation of underwriting requirements where this evaluation is based on the measurement of the levels of mortality costs associated with such requirements. A discussion of this paper is included.

Description: The main focus of this report is the presentation of information and methodologies to support the analysis of the financial impact of AIDS on individual companies writing life insurance in the U.S. Topics include reserving and development of valuation tables used for both statutory and GAAP accounting. This report should be viewed as a supplement to the Individual Life Report. Many of the issues and conclusions in the Individual Life Report are equally applicable to individual disability insurance and are therefore not discussed herein. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1990, Vol. 42.

Description: This paper deals with the problem of determining the effect on reserves of variations in the assumptions. A general approach to this problem is presented and then used to extend Lidstone's theorem, mainly to cases involving a nonmonotone critical function. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1981, Vol. 33.

Description: This note describes a mortality investigation procedure in which the expected mortality applicable to each new policy for a period of about three years after issue is estimated by use of persistency factors. Discussions of this paper are included.

Description: Shiu derives two formulas for calculating the probability of eventual ruin in a collective risk model. This paper implements one of the formulas by incorporating an algorithm to reduce round-off error due to convolution. It gives the results of the programs for some claim distributions.