Description: Slides from a panel discussion session at the Spring meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in San Antonio, Texas, June 14-15, 2004 Discussion of the basics of actuarial appraisals: Panelists discussed the reasons to perform an actuarial appraisal, the processes involved, issues that should be addressed and assumption development.

Description: Regime switching models have become a popular tool in econometric time series modeling since their introduction in Hamilton [1989].These models have been widely applied for equity-returns for investment guarantees. A prominent risk management challenge is hedging these guarantees, given the equity regime switching process. This presentation develops some methodologies for regime-switching portfolio replication and use real world data to demonstrate and evaluate their effects. A Bayesian approach for regime switching model fitting is used, which allows for the examination of the robustness of each of the optimization methods when parameter uncertainty is present.

Description: This presentation develops an integrated approach that addresses simultaneously guaranteed annuity option (GAO)’s pricing and capital requirement calculation.

Description: This discussion at an SOA 1968 Regional Meeting is about corporate planning and the actuary's role in the process.

Description: This session from the 1993 Valuation Actuary Symposium focuses on general modeling issues associated with the completion of the opinion and memorandum required by revisions to the Standard Valuation Law. It concentrates on liability modeling.

Description: 1996 Valuation Actuary Symposium Proceedings, Session 11, discusses health financial projections and projection modeling in general.

Description: From a session at the 2000 Valuation Actuary Symposium held in Washington DC, September 14-15, 2000 In this session the panelists discussed the issues related to the actuarial aspects associated with the demutualization process. The issues discussed included: • Developing historical and prospective assumptions • Aligning the models used in the company’s philosophy regarding dividend determination and pricing • Creating experience assumptions when less-than-perfect data exist • Determining who gets what • Complying with actuarial and accounting standards

Description: From a session at the 2001 Valuation Actuary Symposium, held in Lake Buena Vista, Florida, November 29-30, 2001 Actuarial models must both accurately portray the assets and liabilities in question and produce relevant and meaningful projection results. The panel discusses important considerations in: • Proper organization of a model • Structuring of a model for an intended purpose i.e., pricing versus financial reporting, statutory versus GAAP accounting • Static and dynamic model validation techniques • Data integrity

Description: Panelists discuss the subject of data modeling and then its application to benefit guarantees on variable annuities. Session 36PD of the 2005 Valuation Actuary Symposium.

Description: Ever wanted to do a Kaggle data science competition, but didn't know where to start? This presentation meets the needs of actuaries interested in predictive analytics and competitive data science. The presentation will describe the nature of competitive data science, and provide insights into lessons learned by competing in the Airbus Ship Detection Challenge at Kaggle, as well as other Kaggle competitions. The presenters will provide an introduction to neural networks and describe the nature of the Airbus Ship Detection Challenge and other Kaggle competitions, plus a solution approaches that can be used to obtain top scores using Convolutional Neural networks (CNNs), random forests and boosted trees.