61
-
69
of
69
results (0.5 seconds)
Sort By:
-
Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting Given the ubiquity of judgmental forecasting, it is important to understand the potential biases inherent in human judgment—the traps that can ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
-
Complexity Sciences—Simplified!
Complexity Sciences—Simplified! The author discusses the two-part presentation on complexity science tools at the SOA Annual Meeting October 2010. He explains that presentations went back to ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
-
Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050
Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050 Futurism section members participated in this Delphi study, which had multiple choice questions on a range of life, health, economic and ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Assess decision effectiveness
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
-
The Actuarial Road Not Taken - Jeff Sagarin's Sports Ratings
The Actuarial Road Not Taken - Jeff Sagarin's Sports Ratings Jeff Sagarin is one of the most well-known figures in the sports analytics world, with his sports ratings appearing in USA Today ...- Authors: Anders Larson
- Date: Jul 2016
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
-
When Algebra Gets Chaotic
When Algebra Gets Chaotic Discusses how 'insignificant' changes in assumptions can have very significant affects. Assumptions; 4294969216 1/1/2012 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
-
Speculative Fiction Contest & the Predictive Analytics and Futurism
Speculative Fiction Contest & the Predictive Analytics and Futurism Article about entries to the Speculative Fiction Contest and the winning entry for the Speculative Fiction and Futurism ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jun 2017
- Competency: Communication>Written communication
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation
-
Hidden Markov Models and You: Part 2
Hidden Markov Models and You: Part 2 In this continuation of our July 2013 article we explore an algorithm for evaluating Hidden Markov Models in detail. A preferred method in speech recognition ...- Authors: Brian Grossmiller, Douglas Norris
- Date: Dec 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain
-
Modelling Process
Modelling Process An introduction of predictive modeling techniques that are applicable to insurance industry, including generalized linear model (GLM) and classification and regression tree ...- Authors: Qichun Xu
- Date: Dec 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics
-
The Weight of Certainty
The Weight of Certainty Discussion of several short stories by featured author Steve Mathys. Mathys was the winner of the 10th Speculative Fiction Contest Forecasting and Futurism Section prize.- Authors: Michael Lindstrom
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Communication>Written communication
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting