Description: Investment Fallacies: The Fable of the Storyteller and the Market

Description: E-book contains 16 topical essays that express the opinions and thoughts of a number of authors on the subject of Investment Fallacies.

Description: Given a financial transaction we are often interested in the number of internal rates of return [yield rates] and their location. From an actuarial point of view, the fundamental question is to identify those transactions with a single yield rate, or a single rate in some interval such as the positive reals. In this paper we are concerned with this counting problem. We survey various results concerning this problem, and provide a unifying approach together with some new insights.

Description: This paper argues that the self-financing axiom with mild assumptions on the conditional expected returns yields a market with an eventual arbitrage. This is accomplished by minimizing the conditional variance of a trade when the conditional expectation is a fixed constant. Examples with common processes shows that most models yield an eventual arbitrage. As a final application, a cost model is applied to prices of stripped coupon and principal payments on U.S. government bonds, where rates of return are estimated and lower bounds on market costs given.

Description: An overview of the articles in the August 2012 issue of Risk Management and a list of winners of the most recent call for papers, “Risk Metrics for Decision Making and ORSA.”

Description: This session from the 1983 SOA Spring Meeting discusses disintermediation and intermediation risk - C-3 Risk, investment strategy and product design including market value adjusted products. From Record of Society of Actuaries Vol. 9, No. 2.

Description: In a paper entitled ‘Using Cash Flows to Allocate Investment Income’ [ARCH 1979.1] reference was made to the conversion of investment rates [and capital gain and loss rates] from rates based upon periods of original contribution to rates based upon dollars of original contribution. Thus arose the topic of this note.

Description: Consensus of viewpoints from a group discussion on economic forecasting at the March meeting of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries.

Description: Investment Fallacies: Extended periods of robust macroeconomic growth are healthy for investing.

Description: Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance (CPPI) performance is assessed on realistic assumptions and dynamic strategies to mitigate the so-called ”gap risk”.