Description: The most recent U.S. population data released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and from the U.S. Census at year-end 2021 includes the first ten months of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. While we know the pandemic has had significant impacts on both the U.S. population and insured population mortality, we also see increased mortality due to many other non-COVID causes of death. Where are the biggest changes and what does this non-COVID excess mortality mean over the next few years? Take part as an expert panel hosts an interactive discussion to examine data from general population as well as from both individual life and group life experience studies to explore how these changes might spur innovation in underwriting, assumption setting and pricing.

Description: ClubVita Session Series Buyouts and indemnity swaps remove all the longevity risk from an underlying population. However, they can be difficult to unwind and are not very flexible or widely tradable. Explore the characteristics and product structures of indexed based longevity swaps, demonstrating how they can cover any term, how they hedge the key component of trend risk and how, with new technology developments, they could lead to a liquid market.

Description: This article delves into general insurance questions raised by the recent CrowdStrike disruption on computer systems worldwide.

Description: Emerging risks are new or evolving, so require novel treatment by risk teams. The results from the 15th annual survey of emerging risks, sponsored by the Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA), Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) will be shared. Long-term trends and highlights from open-ended questions will be shared, along with analysis of how the practitioner can use this information. While risk appetite statements profess a stable and consistent process, research shows that companies rotate through methodologies with management teams and that the most successful teams have the flexibility to adjust to current conditions.

Description: Essays advocating for incentive compensation linked to the level of risk in an organization.

Description: While the higher general inflation in the broader U.S. economy hasn't emerged in the healthcare market (yet); there is expectations for it to have a lagged impact especially as the full impact of COVID on suppressed utilization emerges. As the healthcare system transitions past COVID, overall costs are expected to trend higher due to overall inflationary pressures as well as new treatments such as the highly anticipated new gene and cell therapies often with costs over millions of dollars.As costs rise, more companies are looking to self-insure their health insurance to control cost increases and are leveraging innovative stop loss programs including captives. Captive insurance markets have seen significant growth and diverse implementations allowing companies to self-fund while managing the risk of large claims and increasing costs. Payers are also looking to control costs and implement value based payment schemes to bend the trend curve and manage costs. Medicare has also adopted new value based payment programs (ACO Reach) which will impact commercial payers and are important to understand. Come gain an understanding of the historical and projected future medical cost drivers including the projected impact of new therapies and then impact on the stop loss markets. Additionally, you'll gain a deeper understanding on how recent innovations in the stop loss market such as the growth in the captive market, level funded and aggregate only products have helped employers manage their costs and overall risk profile.

Description: The SOA is interested in understanding how companies are performing scenario analysis, thinking through how various stakeholders (regulators, general public, competitors) could be reacting to a large-scale large-impact event over a multi-year period.

Description: The 2024 Dangerous Risks survey shows respondents react to recent increases in "old favorite" risks as technology evolves and the environment moves away from the pandemic.

Description: This article is part of a 2 part series on real options analysis (ROA). Before you can understand the limitations of ROA, you must first understand the difference between risk and uncertainty. This article goes into detail explaining the vast differences between the two phenomena.

Description: In this article, we summarize inflationary factors that may result in a sharp increase in interest rates and implications for life insurer convexity risk exposure, most notably to dynamic policyholder lapsation. We further provide insights into potential ALM strategies to mitigate this convexity risk. Due to the prolonged low-interest rate environment and low minimum interest rate guarantees offered to policyholders, liability convexity is higher than prior historical periods, which results in life insurers’ ALM positions being extremely vulnerable to short-term interest rate spikes. Convexity mismatches cause issues for life insurers under both rising and declining interest rate scenarios. This means that life insurers are not compensated for taking convexity risk and, therefore, convexity matching should always be considered in the asset optimization process. There are mixed signals from policymakers and financial markets regarding potential inflationary and sharply rising interest rate scenarios. The key takeaway is that life insurers are not compensated for taking convexity risk and it is the right time for insurers to review convexity exposure. There are different approaches available to mitigate convexity exposure through rebalancing of asset positions and hedges within each life insurer’s risk limits.