Description: A new statistical approach is presented for calculation of Incurred But Not yet Paid, IBNP, claim amounts. It is based on two new variant methods, the Simple Projected Paid Lag method and the Regressed Projected Paid Lag method.

Description: "The ACA RADV Program will begin to impact issuers’ risk transfers in the 2018 benefit year (BY) – potentially significantly. The program is expected to continue into the 2019 BY and beyond. Therefore, health actuaries working in the ACA market need to understand this program and its potential impact.The session includes panel experts who will provide attendees with high-level overview of the program, discuss the findings from a national study, and RADV’s ultimate impact to risk transfers, as well as downstream impacts to financial and pricing decisions. The nationwide study is based on 300+ issuers’ 2016 RADV results and contains emerging insights into the new ACA RADV program otherwise unavailable. The panel’s agenda will include:1. A succinct overview of the ACA RADV Program will be provided2. Summary of a national 2016 ACA RADV pilot study results and its findings. 3. Preliminary results from a national 2017 RADV study will be discussed (or CMS published results if available prior to session). 4. Walkthrough of how RADV results impact the overall risk adjustment transfers in the ACA market. 5. Finally, the panel will discuss RADV impact to issuer’s financial accruals and pricing strategy. 6. General Q&A, discussion"

Description: This is an internal letter from an actuary to an associate regarding a claims study that established, in the mind of the writer, the adequacy and conclusiveness of a small sample size in certain situations. Actuarial Research Clearing House ARCH 1988, Vol. 3

Description: Editor's comments on the publication

Description: When setting reserves, multiple methods are often used in the creation of the reserve estimate. Judgment is warranted to combine these different estimates into a final recommendation. This paper describes two techniques that can be used to combine these estimates that may result in better accuracy and lower variance.

Description: This is the 1971 report in a series on annual studies of the morbidity experience of Group Weekly Indemnity Insurance.

Description: Early in his career, Ehren Nagel, FSA, MAAA, scoured through podcasts and articles about predictive analytics, long suspecting this was a field with potential for him.

Description: This discussion is about health benefits for people 65 and older and underwriting appropriately for the risk. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1961 Vol. 13 pt 2

Description: Description and layout of the Group Medical Claims Database from the 1997–1999 Group Medical Insurance Database and Analysis Report.

Description: This discussion is about problems of smaller companies entering the individual health insurance field. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1962 Vol. 14 Pt. 2