Description: Despite a considerable accumulation of empirical and theoretical evidence in the last two decades in favor of a slowdown in the rate of mortality increase with age, the veracity of mortality deceleration observed at very old ages among humans was recently called into question on the basis of: (1) inaccurate data, (2) invalid assumptions, and/or (3) inadequate mixture of birth cohorts with different mortality experiences. In this article, we use a highly reliable set of individual-level data on French-Canadians centenarians born between 1870 and 1896 and who died between 1970 and 2009 to compute new estimates of the age-trajectory of mortality at ages 100 and over. Our results suggest that the rate of mortality increase with age tends to slow down at very old ages, even when special care is taken to avoid issues (1) to (3) outlined above.

Description: This paper helps the audience understand the actuary’s role in estimating the financial impact of primary care programs. In addition, the paper can be used by actuaries to think about key issues when estimating the financial impact of their employers’ and clients’ own primary care programs.

Description: Panelists at an Annual Meeting session discuss the actuarial world and current state of the life insurance industry .

Description: Feature article from the January 2010 issue of In The Public Interest discussing whether or not the retirement age needs to be increased.

Description: This paper presents a generalized profits released model which resolves the difficulties of the traditional analysis posed by products that have fluctuating profits and losses over time or have no initial investment. Discussions of the paper are included.

Description: Estimation of hazard rates at extremely old ages poses serious challenges to researchers: 1 The observed mortality deceleration may be at least partially an artifact of mixing different birth cohorts with different mortality heterogeneity effect 2 Standard assumptions of hazard rate estimates may be invalid when risk of death is extremely high at old ages 3 Ages of very old people may be exaggerated. In this paper we propose an alternative approach, which gives an opportunity to resolve the first two problems by compiling data for more homogeneous single-year birth cohorts with hazard rates measured at narrow monthly age intervals. Possible ways of resolving the third problem of hazard rate estimation were elaborated.

Description: The abstract for the paper The Importance of Being Transparent: Theory and Implementation Specifics for an Integrated Risk Measurement Model for P&C Companies.

Description: Study of the Effect of a Flu Pandemic on Economic Values Using the Delphi Method

Description: The Society of Actuaries is honored to announce the recipients of the Outstanding Session Awards for the 2021 Life Meeting that took place virtually Aug. 30 – Sept. 1.

Description: This SOA report identifies methodologies currently in use by life insurers as well as potential new strategies to manage balance sheet and income volatility risk associated with fair value and related accounting