Announcement: SOA releases passing candidate numbers for April 2024 Exam PA.

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  • Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050
    range of life, health, economic and professional issues. The article provides background on the study ... study and comments on the predictions of participants for 2010 (and 2050) in light of experience to date.

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Assess decision effectiveness
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Future Opportunities in the Life Insurance Industry—Views of a Delphi Study
    Opportunities in the Life Insurance Industry—Views of a Delphi Study In 2007, members of the Forecasting ... Futurism Section were joined by members of the Technology Section and the Marketing & Distribution Sections ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Life Insurance>Marketing and distribution - Life Insurance
  • Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future
    This article is about research studies that use the Delphi technique. It describes what a Delphi ... thumbnail sketch of two Delphi studies the Society of Actuaries has sponsored in the past 10 years, as ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Book Review: Predictably Irrational
    Book Review: Predictably Irrational Predictably Irrational, by Dan Ariely, is considered a seminal ... book review gives a chapter by chapter synopsis of the book. behavioral economics;policyholder behavior ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Dec 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Back to the Futurism
    Back to the Futurism The article gives a brief history of the development of the Delphi method, and ... and describes the use of the Delphi method in studies by the Society of Actuaries over the past 25 years ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • A Return Visit to the Sugarscape
    Visit to the Sugarscape This article describes the use of artificial society modeling to gauge the effect ... effect of insurance agent population and effectiveness on individual life insurance sales. This is part of ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • A Conversation About the Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions
    Conversation About the Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions A Delphi Research Study of Long-Term ... " Two members of the Project Oversight Group discuss the reasons for the study and the Delphi method ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski, Ronald R Hagelman
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Forecasting & Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study
    Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study The article describes what a Delphi study entails; describes ... describes past Delphi studies conducted by the SOA; and summarizes "Land This Plane" - A Delphi ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: In The Public Interest
    • Topics: Long-term Care>Long-term care insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up, by Joshua M. Epstein and Robert Axtell
    Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up, by Joshua M. Epstein and Robert ... from the Bottom Up, by Joshua M. Epstein and Robert Axtell Book review of: Social Science from the Bottom ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Why Consider a Delphi Study?
    Why Consider a Delphi Study? By Ben Wolzenski In the December 2017 Predictive Analytics and Futurism News-letter ... Council member Bryon Robidoux wrote about the TED talk, “The Human Insights Missing from Big Data,” by ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Apr 2018
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting