Description: An analysis of population mortality at the older ages in the United States. The analysis is based principally on data obtained for calendar years 1968-69 in the operations of the Medicare program. In addition, the author develops mortality rates by single ages at the very high ages 85 and over, using the extinct cohort method based on deaths recorded through the vital statistics system in calendar years 1951-68.

Description: Distinguished panelists discuss the historical development of long-range 'close actuarial balance' of OASDI, its purposes and how well it is fulfilling its purposes, whether similar measures should be applied to the Hospital Insurance [HI] and Supplementary Medical Insurance [SMI] programs, and possible alternative measures. From the 1988 Record of Society of Actuaries, Vol. 14, No. 1.

Description: Presented at Annual Meeting October 1986. Discusses: Reasonableness of cost projections in the 1986 OASDI Trustees Report, Possible policy alternatives in response to the higher cost projected for years after 2020, How to reduce the variability in cost trends due to economic and demographic changes, Financing implications of differences and similarities in cost trends between Social Security pensions and private pensions, paper, 'Components of Trends in Social Security Costs' by Francisco R. Bayo, Milton P. Glanz and Charles L. Trowbridge.

Description: This section provides multiple book reviews and summaries of recent publications. Topics include aging, retirement and pension plans, investing, demography, mergers and acquisitions, variable annuities and other insurance and mathmatical subjects. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1972, Vol. 24, Pt. 1, No. 70.

Description: This discussion shares a few observations about the recent developments in the Social Security Disability Insurance program including recent trends in the incidence and termination rates, recent legislative proposals, individual product ideas and changes. From Record of the Society of Actuaries 1978, Volume 4, No. 4.

Description: In this year’s Trustees’ Reports, recently submitted to the Congress, most attention focuses on the cash benefits program which is projected to have an actuarial deficit of about 3% of taxable payroll, over the 75-year valuation period.

Description: This paper presents a procedure for analyzing the factors that affect federal Old Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance costs in the U.S. This procedure shows that the tripling of the program costs during the last 30 years resulted from increases in the number of beneficiaries as opposed to increases in the number of covered workers. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1986, Vol. 38.

Description: This panel discussion session focuses on the national commission on social security reform. Topics included: 1. Current financial status of the OASDI and HI programs short range and long range? 2. Options for solving the financing problems. 3. Goals of the NCSSR in solving these problems and recommendations determined to date. 4. General public understanding of the issues?

Description: In this article the author cautions against the temptation to extend stochastic modeling into areas of unpredictable parameters and probabilities. He challenges actuaries to rely on their own judgment.

Description: This paper presents an analysis of the mortality of old-age beneficiaries retired workers aged 65 or over and covers the period 1941-61, based on administrative actions taken through 1962. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1965, Vol. 17, Pt. 1, No. 49.