Description: This paper describes a method to determine confidence intervals for trend involving resampling - with replacement but without random numbers - of numerical convolutions for sums and quotients, and the estimating of confidence intervals for trend in average size major medical claims.

Description: This paper introduces a conjecture as to a method for estimating how much has to be added to the probability of ruin by n claims to obtain the probability of ultimate ruin. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1994 Vol. 2 .

Description: This paper by John Mereu describes a method for mathematically computing the expected loss under a group life contract in excess of a stated limit. The paper also shows how to compute the variance and standard deviation of the stop-loss claim and suggests how the method can be extended to group insurance benefits where the claim amount per certificate is not fixed. Paper is followed by discussions from several people

Description: This paper presents a method involving re-sampling 'with replacement but without random numbers', numerical convolutions for sums and quotients, and estimation of confidence intervals for trend in average size claim. In this paper, this method is applied to major medical claims.

Description: This session at the SOA 1962 Jacksonville and Chicago Regional Meetings discussed agent compensation issues with a focus on financing arrangements and agent turnover.

Description: The primary purpose of this paper is to present an alternative method of determining the profitability of the premium for a return of premium benefit through the use of a limited simulation program. Also discussed are necessary reserves for a return of premium benefit. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1973, Vol. 25, Pt. 1, No. 73.

Description: A method is presented which uses Bayes Lemma in an elementary way to construct posterior probabilities to be attached to each of several alternative prior distributions, given a few observations. The availability of efficient computer programs to numerically perform discrete convolutions for producing prior distributions makes this a practical method. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1978, Vol.2.

Description: All claim reserve systems endeavor to derive estimates of the unpaid portion of claims which have been incurred over a given period of time, making use of information on numbers of claims and amounts paid on claims as of the valuation date. In this paper, a claim reserve system is described. While the system does produce the traditional type of single-point estimates of claim reserves, it also provides the user with frequency distributions of claim reserves

Description: In Gary Venter's paper on Credibility in Foundations Of Casualty Actuarial Science, he suggeted that estimating the variance of the estimated least squares credibility Z would help provide an understanding of the accuracy of the calculation. This paper examines this suggestion. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1994, VOL. 1.

Description: In this paper a method is described for pricing - and reserving for- return of premium benefits under disability income policies. Followed by a discussion paper