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The Delphi Method
The Delphi Method The Delphi Method is discussed in detail. The method attempts to filter out the consensus ... employing a technique whereby an anonymous collection of opinions is used, supplemented by feedback loops ...- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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The Ethical Actuary—a Tautology: Never let it Become an Oxymoron!
The Ethical Actuary—a Tautology: Never let it Become an Oxymoron! Actuaries are Known as highly ethical ... Our profession is one of the most highly respected ones in the world. In the United States, we are considered ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Aug 2021
- Competency: Communication; Professional Values
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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When Algebra Gets Chaotic
toward a single attractor of 0.5. Note that X(t) is bounded by 0 and 1. The general idea is that while ... you increase R to 3.1, two attractors emerge, and the value oscillates between them. At slight increases ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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The Random GLM Algorithm: A Better Ensemble?
The Random GLM Algorithm: A Better Ensemble? A description of the random generalized linear model (RGLM) ...- Authors: Michael Niemerg
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Complexity Sciences—Simplified!
Sciences—Simplified! The author discusses the two-part presentation on complexity science tools at the SOA Annual ... presentations went back to basics with explanations about the difference between modeling tools used to employ ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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The First Step in Building a Predictive Model
The First Step in Building a Predictive Model A discussion on the starting point of building a predictive ...- Authors: Nathan Dennis Pohle
- Date: Dec 2018
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Explainable AI
Explainable AI Machine learning models are not black-boxes; these models can easily be ... Anchor. These tools can facilitate the understanding of the model and the business problem. We can used these ...- Authors: Carlos Brioso
- Date: Nov 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Technology & Applications
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Actuaries: Do We Know Our Limits?
Actuaries: Do We Know Our Limits? Given the limits of classical actuarial modeling and forecasting techniques ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Like Peas in a Pod - Ideas in Cluster Analysis
Like Peas in a Pod - Ideas in Cluster Analysis This article gives a brief overview of ... Cluster Analysis This article gives a brief overview of ways to extend clustering analysis beyond basic methods ...- Authors: Michael Niemerg
- Date: Apr 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Predictive Analytics
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First Annual Predictive Analytics Symposium—Big Success!
First Annual Predictive Analytics Symposium—Big Success! The first annual SOA Predictive Analytics ... Annual Predictive Analytics Symposium—Big Success! The first annual SOA Predictive Analytics Symposium was ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Dec 2017
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods