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  • Should Actuaries Get Another Job? Nassim Taleb’s work and it’s significance for actuaries
    Should Actuaries Get Another Job? Nassim Taleb’s work and it’s significance for actuaries In this article ... article, the author examines Nassim Taleb’s work and writings and discusses its relevance to the future of ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Mar 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Literature Search Results for the report Complexity Science
    authors mention an article titled “Modeling annuity policy holder behavior using behavioral economics ... management; L Segre-Tossani “complex adaptive system(s)”: 29 hits, 6 potential resources:  2009: How ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jun 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics
  • Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
    Life insurance actuaries forecast population mortality and company assets over lifetimes; retirement ... actuarial work. RELEVANT FORECASTING METHODS Table 1 on page 7 and 8 provides an overview of forecast- ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Complexity Science – An Introduction and Invitation for Actuaries
    Complexity Science – An Introduction and Invitation for Actuaries An introduction ... Science. The report includes an overview of the field’s key results, detailed instructions for building Complexity ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jun 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Simulating Health Behavior – A Guide to Solving Complex Health System Problems with Agent-Based Simulation Modeling
    physician networks, another simulates an employer's workplace wellness plan, and the third simulates adverse ... health insurance in the Exchange environment of U.S. health reform. Chapter sixteen of the project report ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Apr 2013
  • Literature Search Results: For the International Compendium of Health Behavior
    Actuaries. All rights reserved. S O C I E T Y O F AC T U AR I E S Health Section Literature ... care physicians; AAMA Executive; 1996 (>) Moore S; How consumers evaluate health care quality. Part ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jun 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care
  • Answers to Exercises - for the report Complexity Science
    Answers to Exercises - for the report Complexity ... mine: Item S et S ys te m D yn am ic sy st em S im pl e sy st em ... X X X X X a termite colony X X X X X the U.S. healthcare system X X X X X Item ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jun 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Simulating Health Behavior - A Guide to Solving Complex Health System Problems with Agent-Based Simulation Modeling
    Actuaries. All rights reserved. S O C I E T Y O F AC T U AR I E S Health Section Simulating ... insurance makes the decision in the context of the U.S. culture and economy, as well as the context of ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jun 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care
  • Overview of forecasting methods
    Table 1: Overview Of fOrecasTing meThOds Forecasting method Description/preferred application Current ... Generally not used Widely used [17, 18] [19] Table 1: Overview Of fOrecasTing meThOds continued Forecasting ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
  • Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
    such behavior is common: A 2003 survey of 240 U.S. corpora- tions found that only 11 percent use formal ... Slovic, & Tversky (1982) and Kahneman & Tversky (2000). BEST METHODS AND PRACTICES … 8 | FORECASTING ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting