Description: The SOA, with SCOR as the researcher, completed an experience study of post-level term (PLT) lapse and mortality. In the first part of this session, the presenters will cover the key findings of the traditional analysis regarding the shock lapse, the PLT lapse and mortality experience. The remainder of the session will focus on the results of the predictive modeling, which will provide further insights into policyholder behavior in the post-level term period.

Description: Universal Life with Secondary Guarantees (ULSG) was first introduced in the late 1990's as low-cost, long-term death benefit protection. As this business ages, writers are experiencing pressured earnings from emerging experience, secondary markets for insurance products and low interest rates. In response, writers are sharpening their pencils on experience analysis and risk management with an eye for opportunities to increase the performance of their blocks.

Description: Learn more about the predictive modeling that was applied to industry data for the lapse and mortality experience in the post-level term period. Novel approaches were taken to model the shock lapse, subsequent lapse, and mortality experience. Observe a demonstration of the Tableau tool, which was built to allow users to analyze data on their own.