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  • Bayesian Inference for Small Population Longevity Risk Modelling
    Bayesian Inference for Small Population Longevity Risk Modelling This presentation considers the ... the calibration of stochastic mortality models. stochastic mortality models;bayesian;small population ...

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    • Authors: Liang Chen, Torsten Kleinow, Andrew Cairns
    • Date: Mar 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Simulating A Predictive Multivariate Total Claim Distribution With Excel VBA
    total claim distribution with Excel VBA∗ Rohana S. Ambagaspitiya Department of Mathematics and Statistics ... claims data for three classes over three periods. ∗2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 65C05 ...

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    • Authors: Rohana Ambagaspitiya
    • Date: Jul 2007
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Topics: Health & Disability; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation
  • Tables from Paper on Use of Bayes Lemma to Construct Frequency Distribution of qx
    Tables from ... Period Pro ba bil i ties _..;O:!b~s::.!e::..:r:,cv~a!.!t:..:i~o:!n!.:s~- 1 2 ••• n A mn n+l ___ ... for the jth period • • • X __ n_ r m sl s m I: = 1 pij =the probability of observing xj ...

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    • Authors: William A Bailey
    • Date: Jan 1978
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • STOCHASTIC APPROACHES TO CORPORATE PLANNING
    APPROACHES TO CORPORATE PLANNING Teaching Session FRANK S. IRISH There are a large number of plsnn_ ng problems ... every additional risk puts a strain on the company' s ability to absorb risk. We in the insurance business ...

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    • Authors: Frank S Irish
    • Date: Apr 1977
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    “offset” variable that represented the original model’s risk score prediction. In a standard linear regression ... The specific error metrics are presented in the table below: Model Description Error Metric on Next Year ...
    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Brad Armstrong
    • Date: Oct 2015
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Expanding Horizons
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Predictive Analytics
  • An Uncharacteristic Application of Actuarial Science
    An Uncharacteristic Application of Actuarial Science An in-depth look at how actuarial skills ... statistics, financial math- ematics, modeling mortality and other uncertain events. On the job, skills ...

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    • Authors: Michael Adams
    • Date: Nov 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Actuary of the Future
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility This article describes a method that can be ... The specific error metrics are presented in the table below: Model Description Error Metric on Next ...

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    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Bradley Armstrong
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics