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Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050
Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050 Futurism section members participated in this Delphi ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Assess decision effectiveness
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Back to the Futurism
would “most likely be the situation in the year 2000.” This led to the development of a “Standard Scenario” ... Scenario” for the “Actuarial World of the Year 2000.” Among other things, that report predicted that ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Dec 2015
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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The Actuarial Road Not Taken - Jeff Sagarin's Sports Ratings
The Actuarial Road Not Taken - Jeff Sagarin's Sports Ratings Jeff Sagarin is one of the most well-known ...- Authors: Anders Larson
- Date: Jul 2016
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
Life insurance actuaries forecast population mortality and company assets over lifetimes; retirement ... actuarial work. RELEVANT FORECASTING METHODS Table 1 on page 7 and 8 provides an overview of forecast- ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
such behavior is common: A 2003 survey of 240 U.S. corpora- tions found that only 11 percent use formal ... Slovic, & Tversky (1982) and Kahneman & Tversky (2000). BEST METHODS AND PRACTICES … 8 | FORECASTING ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting ... The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting & Futurism section’s newsletter, Forecasting & Futurism ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism
Facts about Artificial Intelligence By Dr. Anand S. Rao 38 Collaborative Filtering for Medical Conditions ... Using Graphical Processing Units for Variable Annuity Guarantee Modeling By Bryon Robidoux Predictive ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Should Actuaries Get Another Job?
Should Actuaries Get Another Job? This is an article that discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s ... is an article that discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s work and its significance for actuaries. 9328 9/1/2009 ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future
Futures Research Technique for Forecasting Selected U.S. Economic Variables and Determining Rationales for ... judgments about the long range (20 year) values of four U.S. economic variables: 1. Annual increase in the ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Forecasting Judgment: The Netflix Prize and Collaborative Filtering
Forecasting Judgment: The Netflix Prize and Collaborative Filtering Can the aggregate results from ... as subjective and judgmental as one single person’s opinion? Forecasting of this type commonly uses a ...- Authors: Michael Lindstrom
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting