Description: The objectives of this paper are to determine the extent to which Makeham's or Gompertz's laws describe recent insurance and population mortality analyze how the constants in the two laws vary with respect to some factors and propose a simple extension to Makeham's law to account for recent departures from the laws, related to difference in sex. Presented at Actuarial Research Conference at Ball State University, September 1, 1978

Description: This paper discusses a model that is used for the loss process, ratemaking problem and risk classification.

Description: This is a proof on Lidstone's theorem. It contains formulas for calculating policy dividends.

Description: Recent advances in mortality modeling have enabled applicant-specific quantification of mortality risk in life insurance applicants using laboratory and physical measurements. Relative to more conventional underwriting, this approach identifies a small population of significantly under-priced policy and a much larger, cross-subsidizing group whose risk is presently overestimated. Applicants placed in the highest percentile by this scoring methodology are more than 10X as likely to die in a given period as their demographic peers, and represent approximately 5% of short-term claims. Implications for product design are substantial in both the short- and long-term, as the possibilities for adverse selection grow, and the opportunity for fully individualized pricing raises the more distant prospect of products with as many rate classes as applicants.

Description: A theoretical study of the interrelationship between the financial and insurance risk markets.

Description: The classical approach to life contingencies has treated actuarial functions as fixed quantities. In point of fact, these functions really represent the mean or expected values of random variables which are functions at the length of time to death of a life aged x. In this paper, we will present some examples of this approach. Talk given at the thirteenth annual Actuarial Research Conference held at Ball State University, Muncie, Indiana, September 1, 1978.

Description: Discussion of the movement toward principle-based reserves for LTC insurance.

Description: Is Risk/Return a sound tool for decision-making? No. It is not consistent, not objective, distorts decision and degrades governance. Why? What shall we do then?

Description: Discusses the influence of market-consistent pricing proponents.

Description: background history of the insurance industry and the role of actuaries within it, followed by the current environment and anticipated future environment.