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  • How to Get Started in Predictive Analytics
    Actuaries” by Alan Mills. Alan put together a handy table listing common forecasting approaches in actuarial ... life insurance—have discrete u/w classes as opposed to more continuous u/w; • might want to classify ...

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    • Authors: Mary Campbell
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics
  • Spark: the Next-generation Processing Engine for Big Data
    one can also register the data frame as a SQL table and use SQL-like syntax to do the joining operations ... speed due to optimized algorithm and parallelism (Table 1). The spark clus- ter reduced the processing time ...

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    • Authors: Dihui Lai, Qichun Xu
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency
  • Predictive Modeling
    is a linear combi- nation of independent variable(s) To make a valid linear regression in this basic ... estimations will give the same result. (ii) A s predictive modeling (PM) draws more and more attention ...

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    • Authors: Qichun Xu
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Using Hadoop and Spark for Distributed Predictive Modeling
    naïve Bayes, decision trees, k-mean, etc. (see Table 1). SparkNet, the all-star deep-learning algo- rithm ... responsible for frequency models and loss-cost models. Table 1: Comparisons of the machine learning algorithms ...

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    • Authors: Dihui Lai, Qichun Xu
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics
  • Modelling Process
    be much more important that lead to elevated mortality. For ex- ample, these who frequently visit gas ... more than twice a week leads to 18 times higher mortality,” which is based on statistical modeling on 47 ...

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    • Authors: Qichun Xu
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics
  • The Third Generation of Neural Networks
    hyperbolic tangent. Unfor- tunately, all sigmoidal (s-shaped) activation functions are difficult to train ... The weights resulting from FIGURE 4: SIGMOIDAL (S-SHAPED) ACTIVATION FUNCTION DERIVATIVES The above ...

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    • Authors: Jeff T Heaton
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining
  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility This article describes a method that can be ... The specific error metrics are presented in the table below: Model Description Error Metric on Next ...

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    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Bradley Armstrong
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics
  • What Big Data is, and How to Deal with It
    Stochastic Pricing: The Time Has Come” by Milliman®’s Craig Reynolds and Sai Man is available at http:// ... the reader. First, prove that each row of (I – S) sums to zero. What does this imply about the triangularized ...

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    • Authors: Jeff T Heaton
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics