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  • Introduction to Predictive Modeling of Fund Manager Behavior for Variable Annuities Riders
    Introduction to Predictive Modeling of Fund Manager Behavior for Variable Annuities Riders This ... used for fund modeling can affect the variable annuity's risk exposure report and attribution report ...

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    • Authors: Bryon Robidoux
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Annuities>Variable annuities; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
  • An Alternative View of Future Mortality
    An Alternative View of Future Mortality The author discusses the various components that may have an ... an effect on the future of mortality such as the extinction of numerous species of flora and fauna the ...

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    • Authors: Frank Grossman
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality
  • Chairperson’s Corner: Change is Constant
    Chairperson’s Corner: Change is Constant Reflection on three years on the PAF section council and where ...

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    • Authors: Eileen Sheila Burns
    • Date: Jan 2020
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Back to the Futurism—New and Improved!
    the section, the original Futurism Section, the SOA’s second oldest section. Futures Research methods are ... applied to forecasting plausible values of four U.S. economic variables under three future time periods ...

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    • Authors: Steven Easson
    • Date: Apr 2021
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Research Spotlight
    some of the largest deals of 2020 listed below: Table 1 Sample InsurTech Deals in 2020 The authors believe ... believe that despite the insurance industry’s early adoption of computer usage and data management processes ...

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    • Date: Aug 2021
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Strategic Insight and Integration
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Technology & Applications; FinTech & InsurTech
  • Monitoring Machine Learning
    implementation of a machine learning model? First, the model’s performance is expected to deteriorate over time. ... to evaluate model performance; for example, a mortality model may require a few years to accumulate enough ...

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    • Authors: Carlos Brioso
    • Date: Jun 2021
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Should Actuaries Get Another Job?
    Should Actuaries Get Another Job? This is an article that discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s ... is an article that discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s work and its significance for actuaries. 9328 9/1/2009 ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • White, Gray and Black Swans
    can be highly complex.2 Figure 1 shows that the U.S. health care system in general, and its consumer ... particular, is more complex than several other U.S. eco- nomic systems: to determine the agents involved ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Health & Disability
  • Appendix B: How to Build a Model
    Appendix B: How to Build a Model This actually is a copy of an appendix of a research paper ... paper. Business intelligence;Logistic regression;Mortality modeling;Regression analysis 6442463172 7/1/2015 ...

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    • Authors: Dihui Lai, Scott Rushing, Minyu Cao, Timothy Rozar, Qichun Xu
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Seven Trends That Will Change Your Future—Part One
    in 2015; this represents about 3 percent of the U.S. workforce, a 115 percent increase since 2005.5 Howev- ... per day, is one of the biggest indicators of mortality risk and is 10 times more in- dicative than smoking ...

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    • Authors: Taylor Patterson
    • Date: Aug 2020
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Actuarial Profession>Traditional careers