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Estimating Probability of a Cyber-Security Breach
Information technology is the engine that drives the U.S. economy, giving it a competitive advantage in global ... ) ( / ) ( ) ( / ) P B P A BP B A P B P A B P U P A U = + (1) where ( )P B is overall prior probability ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries, Arkady Shemyakin, Meghan Anthony, Maria Ishmael, Erik William Santa, Natalie Vandeweghe, Gary Stanull
- Date: Dec 2016
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
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Proactively Managing Life Insurance Risks
situation for life (mortality) and health products, it does pose a challenge for annuity (longevity) products ... products. Using payout annuity as an example, if the real- time tracking and data analytics tells an ...- Authors: Feng Sun, Amy Tran
- Date: Aug 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Product development - Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics
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Modern Bayesian Statistics for Actuaries
distributions rather than point estimates of the posterior's mean or mode. We are often interested in the distribution ... regression, but as complex as modeling a product’s complete feature set explicitly. Simpler mental model ...- Authors: Alec Loudenback
- Date: Oct 2023
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Predictive Analytics
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Statistiques bayésiennes modernes pour les actuaires
convient de surveiller des diagnostics uniques pour s’assurer que l’échantillonnage a posteriori a fonctionné ... point de vue pratique, l’approche bayésienne tend à s’aligner davantage sur notre façon intuitive de raisonner ...
- Authors: Alec Loudenback
- Date: Oct 2023
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Predictive Analytics