Description: Futurism section members participated in this Delphi study, which had multiple choice questions on a range of life, health, economic and professional issues. The article provides background on the study and comments on the predictions of participants for 2010 (and 2050) in light of experience to date.

Description: Chairperson’s column discussing the state of the world today and how that influences investment strategies and describes to seminars the section sponsored to keep members apprised of changes.

Description: Article What Actuaries Need To Know About Constructing Mortality Tables by Jones in The Actuary, February 1979, Volume 13, Number 2

Description: Provides a technique for carrying out investment performance attribution reporting which provides stable, consistent results without residuals. Provides simple examples and a mathematical defense of the method. Illustrates implementation using numerical integration. Provides guidance to limit application of the technique when there are discontinuities in the underlying exposure.

Description: Proposes a benchmark consisting of TIPs and deferred income annuities for retirement asset allocation decisions.

Description: A rethinking of current provider reimbursement, focusing on incentives instead of simply cutting fees. The recommended 2-pronged approach would feature integrated provider organizations as well as evidence-based decision making organized around episodes of care.

Description: Summary of the health section council’s research project to assess the accuracy of commonly used IBNR estimation methods over a wide range of scenarios.

Description: This article from major US payers describes palliative care as a scaleable means of improving quality and reducing costs during serious and complex illness.

Description: In today’s increasingly competitive environment, one key to success is understanding, measuring, and managing the factors that drive one’s business. Most traditional financial measures, such as net income or return on equity, are myopic lag indicators that tell us where we have been while saying little about where we are headed. How do we know whether our current actions are creating future value? This article discusses 'the balanced scorecard,' a tool created by Robert Kaplan and David Norton which seeks to identify and measure key business drivers by supplementing financial data with measurements from three additional perspectives: customer, internal business processes, and learning and growth.

Description: A suggestion to review and reassess LTC pricing of the last three decades, in light of dangerously inadequate ratesetting in the early years, and the NAIC's introduction of a model rate stability law.