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2005 Delphi Study - Reflections 10 Years Later
judgments about the long range (20 year) values of four U.S. economic variables: Annual in- crease in the Consumer ... Consumer Price Index; 10 Year Treasury Spot Yields; S&P 500 Total Rate of Return; Corporate Baa Spot Yields ...- Authors: Steven Easson
- Date: Dec 2015
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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Thinking, Fast and Slow Review
out more detail. (What You See Is All There Is) A s a reader of this newsletter, you’ve almost cer-tainly ... percent chance to get $1,000. 2. You are given $2000. Choose to lose $500 for sure or 50 percent chance ...- Authors: Tyson Mohr
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Strategic Insight and Integration>Influence decisions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics
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Three Pitfalls to Avoid in Predictive Modeling
Three Pitfalls to Avoid in Predictive Modeling The well-known examples of predictive modeling ... Bowl, the U.S. stock market would rise, and when an old AFL team won the Super Bowl, the U.S. stock market ...- Authors: Marc Alexandre Vincelli
- Date: Jul 2016
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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Blinded by Predictive Analytics
output or more predictive power. The variable annuity business is a perfect example. A large driver ... conditions and the competition among variable annuity writers. If we look at the short history of variable ...- Authors: Bryon Robidoux
- Date: Dec 2017
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics
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Insights from a Dead Salmon
Insights from a Dead Salmon Actuaries provide special subject matter expertise to question (or ... Using Graphical Processing Units for Variable Annuity Guarantee Modeling,” by Bryon Robi- doux: The need ...- Authors: David Snell, Kevin Jones
- Date: Dec 2016
- Competency: Professional Values>Ethical standards; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Predictive Analytics
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Society of Actuaries Trend Topic: How Predictive Analytics Can Bolster Organizational Expertise
Society of Actuaries Trend Topic: How Predictive Analytics Can Bolster Organizational Expertise ... of the two-person Workforce Analytics team at the U.S. headquarters of Allianz Life in Minneapolis. As ...- Authors: Stephen Fredlund
- Date: Dec 2017
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics