Description: Insurers are increasingly using advanced analytics to model expected outcomes. Two well-known examples in the life insurance industry are models for predicting policyholder behavior and to manage risk selection. The presenters will explore the various types of advanced analytics being considered in models and how the associated risks of these models can be incorporated into an enterprise's risk framework.

Description: Pricing is a central activity of actuaries to assure solvency and to manage risk. Life insurance is also a social good, not just a product, and the US population is massively underinsured. Pricing must strike a balance. Unlike a simple 4x4 matrix to produce pricing, today's technology offers the ability to evaluate literally thousands of variables, enabling a kind of precision pricing. It also heightens the possibility of introducing bias and discrimination through the use of unregulated third-party data.

Description: In order for an organization to benefit from artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) models, it requires the involvement of different business areas. During this webcast, professionals from data analytics, audit and risk areas will address challenges and provide solutions for working together to develop, implement, use and risk manage AI/ML tools. Throughout the discussion, the presenters will discuss: • Defining and exploring the challenges and objectives between data scientists, domain experts and control functions • Risk management – model risks and other risks • End-to-end model validation • Model performance vs. interpretability/understandability trade-offs • What to audit – auditor’s challenge and solutions

Description: Back in the day, when data was scarce and computers were slow, actuaries were forced to use simple methods to account for risk. By far, the most common method was to add a margin, usually 5% to a “best estimate” calculation. Remarkedly, this method still works quite well in the aggregate. The problem is that, in many cases, decisions today require a more in-depth analysis. For example, how big a risk is a health plan really taking if it lowers its premiums by 10% to attract more members? This session will discuss techniques for measuring risk in today’s environment. Speakers will also share the results from the 5/50 research project, which forms the foundation for the techniques.

Description: With seemingly unending demands on life & annuity companies for more intense and complex calculations, as well as greater sophistication around analytics, and all of this done at speed, never before has it been so important to seek out maximum efficiency in constructing models. In this session the panelists examine how the combination of various model efficiency approaches, pulling in many different facets of modeling and making it flexible enough to dial up or down various modeling components, can bring about incredible results. Not only does it become possible to produce and expand upon financial risk metrics via a building block approach, but also enables life insurers to produce analytics and dashboards to support strategic decisions that were simply not possible or cost effectively viable before.

Description: Reinsurance can be used as a tool to improve profitability and competitiveness on in force and new business for companies. Emerging reinsurance solutions will help organizations better manage their capital in different ways. During this webcast, the following solutions will be covered: Use of reinsurance to manage and improve capital and profitability Turning spread-based business into fee-based business Strategic use of affiliate and sidecar reinsurance

Description: Join us for the Pandemics & Paradigm Shifts: ERM in an Intensely Dynamic World panel discussion, where industry and regulatory perspectives will help provide insight into a number of topics. Expect interactive dialogue opportunities based on the conversation between the panelists and the audience. Key topics that will be conversed about, but the panel is not limited to, include a brief review of historical paradigm shifts and subsequent insurer failures, best practices and an outlook on the ultra-dynamic world of today and consideration of a company's enterprise risk management framework as it affects ratings and insurance department examinations.

Description: There is value in a framework that allows a smooth transition from a qualitative assessment to a quantitative analysis as entities mature in their understanding of climate risk. In this webcast, a case study on climate change's impact on home prices, a topic the SOA published research on, will be discussed along with other perspectives. The goal of this webcast will be for attendees to takeaway knowledge and tools to begin to move toward quantitative assessments in their own fields of practice.

Description: Modeling Approaches and Challenges focuses on approaches to real world simulation and the challenges and considerations in real world simulation. Topics include: A frequency domain approach to build realistic multi-horizon scenarios. (Ortec approach) Cascade models structure linking models for major asset classes and economic variables. (Moody’s approach) Overview of models, calibrations & approaches within the context of different use cases. Deterministic & stochastic approaches. Importance of model re-calibration flexibility. We will also discuss specific insights into considerations and challenges in real world simulation, which include topics like: Setting capital market assumptions and/or calibration targets. Assumptions about correlation and causality. Calibrating the model to capital markets assumptions. Validating the model against capital market assumptions. Role of history, market data and stylized facts. Importance of back testing. Calibrating the model to multiple investment horizons. Inclusion of alterative asset classes such as private equity, infrastructure, and direct real estate. Associated issues of limited data, illiquidity and greater uncertainty about calibration targets.