Description: Healthcare costs have been rising faster than general inflation for many years. Early models that predicted this past pattern projected healthcare expenditure growth that continued to outpace total expenditure growth leading to the fallacious position that the whole of the US economy would ultimately be consumed by healthcare. This paper presents a long term healthcare trends resource model, prepared for the Society of Actuaries by Professor Thomas Getzen, that includes capacity constraints to ensure the long-term projection is rational. The motivation for creation of the model was driven by its potential usage as a resource for the estimation of reportable liabilities for retiree healthcare benefits as specified under FAS 106 and GASB 45 accounting statements.

Description: Healthcare costs have been rising faster than general inflation for many years. Early models that predicted this past pattern projected healthcare expenditure growth that continued to outpace total expenditure growth leading to the fallacious position that the whole of the US economy would ultimately be consumed by healthcare. The Society of Actuaries' Pension Section and Health Section Research teams commissioned Professor Thomas E. Getzen of Temple University to construct a resource model for the projection of long term healthcare cost trends that includes capacity constraints to ensure the long-term projection is rational. The motivation for creation of the model was driven by its potential usage as a resource for the estimation of reportable liabilities for retiree healthcare benefits as specified under FAS 106 and GASB 45 accounting statements. This is a zip file containing the following: 1. A background paper on the creation of the health trend model, 2. The model, programmed in Microsoft Excel [xls format], that projects per-person expenditures and growth rates through 2099 using baseline assumptions, but also permits the flexibility for user–inputted alternative assumptions, and 3. Technical documentation providing transparency and support for the ultimate results.

Description: Healthcare costs have been rising faster than general inflation for many years. Early models that predicted this past pattern projected healthcare expenditure growth that continued to outpace total expenditure growth leading to the fallacious position that the whole of the US economy would ultimately be consumed by healthcare. The Society of Actuaries' Pension Section and Health Section Research teams commissioned Professor Thomas E. Getzen of Temple University to construct a resource model for the projection of long term healthcare cost trends that includes capacity constraints to ensure the long-term projection is rational. The motivation for creation of the model was driven by its potential usage as a resource for the estimation of reportable liabilities for retiree healthcare benefits as specified under FAS 106 and GASB 45 accounting statements. This is a zip file containing the following: 1. A background paper on the creation of the health trend model, 2. The model, programmed in Microsoft Excel [xls format], that projects per-person expenditures and growth rates through 2099 using baseline assumptions, but also permits the flexibility for user–inputted alternative assumptions, and 3. Technical documentation providing transparency and support for the ultimate results.

Description: 1993 SOA Spring Meeting, San Diego. This panel discussed the latest trends in mortality including: 1. The new 1994 Group Annuity Mortality and1994 Uninsured Pension tables. 2. Should future improvements be built into the table? If so, how?

Description: Presented at April 1985 Spring Meeting. This session discussed: Potential liability, Design techniques for controlling liability, Effect of inflation, Effect of medicare change, Financial accounting requirements, Funding vehicles and methods.

Description: Attendees are updated on the Government Accounting Standards Board's GASB progress in establishing new recognition and disclosure requirements for post retirement benefits other than pensions. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Volume 29, No. 2, Session 25pd.

Description: This session looks at the many software packages available to help plan for retirement. Each of these includes some model of post-retirement needs. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Volume 27, No. 3, Session 148PD.

Description: Study note for EA,2A exam, presents the factors to consider in setting demographic and economic assumptions used in measuring pension obligations. While its primary focus is on the general process of setting such actuarial assumptions, it also covers some of the specifics of assumption-setting relevant to the actuarial valuations used for pension funding in the United States.

Description: Full version of Pension Section News, September 2003, Issue No. 53.

Description: This paper is intended to summarize the differences in theUP-94 and GAR-94 tables and to review issues that arise for actuaries in choosing the appropriate mortality table. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1995, Vol. 47.