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  • Credibility Formulas of the Updating Type
    Credibility Formulas of the Updating Type A presentation of a mathematics/statistics based approach ... setting. Includes supporting mathematical proofs of approach. Followed by discussions submitted ...

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    • Authors: Hans U Gerber, James C Hickman, Donald A Jones, PAUL ROBERT MILLER, Myron Henry Margolin
    • Date: Oct 1975
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Abstract: Analysis of Costs for a Chronic Disease with Acute High Cost Episodes
    Analysis of Costs for a Chronic Disease with Acute High Cost Episodes This is an abstract for the paper ... paper, Analysis of Costs for a Chronic Disease with Acute High Cost Episodes by Marjorie Rosenberg and Philip ...

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    • Authors: Marjorie Rosenberg, Philip M Farrell
    • Date: Jun 2005
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Topics: Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Health risks; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Bayesian Fair Experience Premium Under Linear Exponential Likelihoods And Conjugate Priors
    Experience Premium Under Linear Exponential Likelihoods And Conjugate Priors A discussion of the point wise ... wise convergence of the Bayesian point estimates under conjugate priors belonging to the linear exponential ...

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    • Authors: Zia Rehman
    • Date: Apr 2001
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    Armstrong This article first appeared in the July 2015 issue of Forecasting & Futurism. It is reprinted ... Risk adjustment models are commonly used in managed care programs to ensure that participating health plans ...
    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Brad Armstrong
    • Date: Oct 2015
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Expanding Horizons
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Predictive Analytics
  • Credibility Theory - C-21-01 Study Note
    to deal with the randomness of data that is used for predicting future events or costs. For ex- ample ... uses past loss information of an insured or group of insureds to estimate the cost to provide fu- ture ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 1998
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods
  • Analyzing Recent Experience on FHA Investor Loans
    describes a study undertaken to determine whether the Federal Housing Administration's 'FHA' ... 'non-occupant' loans should be modified. The sample data were analyzed using both Bayesian and ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Oct 1988
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Public Policy
  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility This article describes a method that can ... when re-fitting a risk score model to a population of only moderate size. Learn how to use concepts like ...

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    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Bradley Armstrong
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics