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  • Know your policyholders first, Model their behavior second
    assumption for these products typically involves a dynamic function in the sense that lapse rates can be ... in- terest rate changes. The formulation of the dynamic function revolves around our view as actuaries ...

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    • Authors: David Wang
    • Date: Aug 2020
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data
  • All About Them Curves: Ordered Lorenz Curves and Lift Curves
    All About Them Curves: Ordered Lorenz Curves and Lift Curves Feature article discussing ... complements to lift curves. Together, they form a dynamic combination of ways to measure risk stratification ...

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    • Authors: Michael Niemerg
    • Date: Jun 2019
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Predictive Analytics, April 2019, Issue 20
    complements to lift curves. Together, they form a dynamic combination of ways to measure risk stratification ... benefits. Benefit 1: Diversity of Thought A more dynamic workforce can allow companies to attract dif- ferent ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jun 2019
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Complexity Science Enters the Actuarial Classrooms
    Complexity Science Enters the Actuarial Classrooms The author discusses expectations for ... that can benefit them and their employers in this dynamic marketplace. We used to think chaos was something ...

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    • Authors: Min Deng
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession
  • Judgmental Forecasting in Determining Policyholder Behavior Assumptions
    Judgmental Forecasting in Determining Policyholder Behavior Assumptions The author explains how ... judgmental forecasting techniques to develop a dynamic lapse assumption. He defines the techniques and ...

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    • Authors: L Doug King
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
    Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries This article provides a brief introduction ... Harrison, J. (1997). Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models (2nd ed.). New York: Springer. 33 Armstrong ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting