Description: This is A Value-Based Longevity Index for Hedging Retirement Income Portfolios abstract authored by Jonathan Ziveyi, Kevin Krahe, Michael Sherris, Andres M Villegas for Session 1A of the January 13-15, 2020 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: This is the Quantification and Management of Longevity Risk in China paper authored by Johnny Li, Kenneth Q. Zhou and Wai-Sum Chan for Session 1A of the January 13-15, 2020 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: These are the Discussant Comments by Sam Gutterman for the Trends in Life Expectancy and Lifespan Variation After Retirement Session 1B of the January 13-15, 2020 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: This is the Does Migration Result in Mortality Improvement: A Case Study in Taiwan paper authored by Chih-Kai Chang, Jack C. Yue and Yen-Wen Chen for Session 3B of the January 13-15, 2020 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: This is the transcript for Session 5B : What is Different Today for Post-retirement Financial Planning? from the 2017 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando.

Description: The Market Cost of Capital approach has emerged as the standard for estimating risk margins for insurers' fair value balance sheets. This paper takes some of the ideas developed for valuing life insurance liabilities and applies them to the problem of valuing credit risky bonds. The basic idea is that credit spreads should cover the cost a) best estimate defaults plus the cost of holding capital for b) contagion risk (e.g. a credit crunch) and c) parameter risk, this risk that the best estimate is wrong and must be revised. We argue that the margins required for parameter risk can capture liquidity issues. In addition, the models developed here allow the cost of capital rate itself to be a random variable which allows credit spreads to open and close stochastically. Finally, the paper argues that it is reasonable to include something like AA best estimate default rates and liquidity spreads when valuing insurance liabilities. The main rationale for doing so is the idea that there are elements of the total credit risk issue that can be hedged between the assets and liabilities.

Description: 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This study investigates whether simulation-based models can be used to predict liquidity risk for banks, which must comply with Basel III by January 2015. The paper looks at the process of developing a measurement framework using Black-Scholes and Merton’s asset-based models to measure liquidity risk.

Description: 2011 SOA Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. The stated purpose of this paper is to consider whether a more comprehensive and timely measurement framework for risk exposure is now needed and to examine one possible approach. This paper proposes a new approach to risk measurement that, along with capital measurement and more rigorous oversight, will allow banks an ability to manage risk.

Description: 'This paper looks at the issue of the timing the commencement of income annuities from the perspective of a real life client scenario.' From the 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, March 2011.

Description: Presented at the Living to 100 Symposium, January 2011. Long-term care LTC insurance is frequently not covered by national social insurance programs. When costs are expressed as a percentage of gross domestic product, the future burden of financing LTC would not lead to unbearable tax levels and is not particularly large in comparison to the projected costs for pensions and health care. After identifying the breadth of definitions of LTC needs, it is argued that LTC is an insurable risk. The paper concludes that LTC social insurance is affordable in developed countries.

Description: Presented at Living to 100 symposium, January 2011. This paper investigates dynamic properties of age trajectories of physiological indices and their effects on mortality risk and longevity using longitudinal data on more than 5,000 individuals collected in biannual examinations of the Framingham Heart Study original age group during about 50 subsequent years of follow up.

Description: Discussant comments for the 2009 Housing Wealth monograph paper, “Home Equity and At-Need Annuities—A Dynamic Long-Term Care Funding Duo”. The author finds that the ideas discussed in this paper should stimulate more thinking about financial products and public sector programs and how they can better serve older homeowners.

Description: This paper describes the prevalence of the still uninsured long-term care financial risk, and how the at-need annuity/home equity combination can address long term care needs.

Description: Author’s response to discussant comments for the 2009 Housing Wealth monograph paper, “Home Equity and At-Need Annuities—A Dynamic Long-Term Care Funding Duo”. The paper describes the prevalence of the still uninsured long-term care financial risk, and how the at-need annuity/home equity combination can address long term care needs.

Description: Abstract for “Home Equity and At-Need Annuities—A Dynamic Long-Term Care Funding Duo.” This paper describes the prevalence of the still uninsured long-term care financial risk, and how the at-need annuity/home equity combination can address long term care needs.

Description: Essay discussing cost, quality and access of healthcare and then describes the need for rationing.

Description: A call for essays issued by the SOA Health and Long Term Care Sections on the visions for the future of the U.S. health care system.

Description: This paper starts from the viewpoint that enterprise risk management [ERM] is a specific application of knowledge in order to control deviations from strategic objectives, shareholders’ values and stakeholders’ relationships. This study is looking for insights into how the application of knowledge management processes can improve the implementation of ERM.

Description: This paper argues that living longer with dignity is what is desirable and also that this should be an objective in designing specific social support systems for the elderly. The paper identifies and discusses certain areas where dignity is lacking or where the likelihood of living with dignity could be enhanced.

Description: Transcript of the Q&A period from session 2A.

Description: The objective of this paper is to explore the issues necessary to develop an integrated model of operational risk (OR) and financial risk (FR) within the framework of enterprise risk management (ERM). From 2007 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS07-1.

Description: This paper describes the features of the Retirement Shares Plan RSP, a new concept in pension benefit design, as an alternative to traditional defined benefit or defined contribution retirement plans. An RSP transfers the invesmtent risk to plan pariticpants while retaining and pooling the longevity risk. From 2006 Re-Envisioning Retirement in the 21st Century Symposium, M-AS06-2.

Description: This paper examines the concept on an Enterprise Risk Management Office, ERMO, and is investigated relative to the project management office, PMO, another enterprise-wide entity that has evolved in corporations. Guidelines and best practices for an ERMO are also suggested. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.

Description: The purpose of this paper is to build a bridge between the traditional methods of looking at financial risk and insurance risk. The paper starts by explaining the concepts behind VaR models of economic capital used in banking. Differences between actuarial and financial views of risk are reviewed and explained. The paper concludes with proposing, developing, and parameterizing a true VaR model of insurance loss reserve risk, which combines several lines of business. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.

Description: This paper generalizes the life table to include the effects of observed and unobserved tine-varying health-related covariates using a longitudinal form of the Grade of Membership model to specify and estimate a multivariate model of the trajectories of disability and mortality among elderly respondents to the NLTCS of 1984, 1989, 1994, and 1999. From 2005 Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph, M-LI05-1.

Description: This paper evaluates the quality of International Database on Longevity IDL data according to several criteria, such as the country of residence or the validation process undertaken, and then provides an estimation of the mortality trajectory up to age 114. From 2005 Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph, M-LI05-1.

Description: Paper examines the rapid growth of the elderly population in India, as well as problems and challenges related to this growth, some universal, and some unique to India. From 2005 Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph, M-LI05-1.

Description: Using the Japan Life Table as input, this paper discusses the strengths and limitations of four mortality models: Heligman-Pollard, Mixed Weibull, Lee-Carter, and a simulation model. From 2005 Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph, M-LI05-1.

Description: This paper proposes principles to serve as the basis for revising the pension funding rules established in 1974, and also suggests a set of revised rules. From Current Pension Actuarial Practice in Light of Financial Economics Symposium, M-RS04-1.

Description: Presented at Living to 100 and Beyond symposium 2002. Discussion of two papers, 'Approaches and Experiences in Projecting Mortality Patterns for the Oldest Old' by Buettner and 'Using Dynamic Reliability in Estimating Mortality at Advanced Ages' by Lin. The first paper discusses the UN methodology for projecting mortality above age 80 and presents another approach for addressing the problem of table closing. The second paper suggests a new statistical model for fitting and estimation of mortality rates at advanced ages.

Description: Using Taiwan Complete Life Tables as the data source, a model is developed using reliability theory and the results of the proposed model are compared to Gompertz’s law.

Description: Discussion of three papers presented at Living to 100 and Beyond symposium. Papers discussed: ' The Roles of Aging, Longevity Determination and Pathology on Human Life Span and Life Expectation' by Hayflick, 'Plastic Omega' by Held, and 'Underlying and Multiple Cause Mortality at Advanced Ages: United State 1980 - 1998' by Stallard. The first paper is an overview on aging, the second paper is a survey of aging research and the third paper discusses underlying and multiple cause mortality.

Description: This paper addresses issues and techniques for advanced age mortality study using data mining techniques, a new technology on the horizon with great actuarial potential. Seven factors were considered in this study, the influences of these factors on advanced-age mortality distribution were identified and models were derived for projecting advanced age mortality.

Description: This article intends to provide some background on how and when the state variation issues came about, why these issues present a challenge to the valuation actuary, what seems to be the current practice in dealing with these challenges, and how these issues can be addressed more effectively and efficiently in the future. From Society of Actuaries Financial Reporting Monograph, M-AS99-1.

Description: Chapter 7 analyzes the demographic variables that could have an effect on the future costs of social security, and then discusses a wealth-transfer model that could be used to stabilize the financing of Canada's total social security system and that would also lower the ultimate cost of Canada's retirement income security programs. From Economic Security for an Aging Canadian Population, M-RS99-2.

Description: This paper sets the task of pricing insurance products in the larger framework of company planning and management. A generalized description of the pricing function, applicable to any insurance company project.

Description: This paper discusses the underlying nature of the Social Security program, certain erroneous views of the program, various Advisory Council proposed solutions to the long-range financing problems, and the probability that no solution stands any chance of being enacted. From The Old-Age Crisis - Actuarial Opportunities - The 1996 Bowles Symposium, M-RS99-1.