Description: Risk management techniques do not include system science. System science requires that the uncertainty of the world is incorporated into the results. The articles explains the difference between risk and uncertainty. Learn how risk practices create an overoptimistic view of future outcomes.

Description: Summary of recent surveys to life actuaries regarding assumptions surrounding policyholder behavior in the tail for universal life with secondary guarantees and minimum guarantees on variable annuities. This information is intended to examine and ultimately give guidance to actuaries on how to set policyholder assumptions in extreme scenarios.

Description: This dissertation by Tia Sawhney will help you understand this issue and start measuring it, or start promoting equitable public policy.

Description: Presented at June 1996 Spring Meeting. Inability to quantify the volatility in individual disability income insurance is one of the key reasons for loss experiences in the industry. Discussion covers: volatility measures for reserving, application of reserve adequacy criteria under various plan designs, application of volatility measures to pricing, and a test of the effectiveness of volatility measures.

Description: This paper cautions against using expected utility theory for measuring insurance risk, because of the numerous inherent difficulties associated with it. Instead, an approach for loading gross premiums that is based on risk-measure functions is explored. Discussions of this paper are included.