Description: This is a paper from the session on Life Expectancy Analysis at the January 15-18, 2023, 2023 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: This paper introduces the predictive modeling tools to mortality research. The predictive modeling is applied to study how multiple risk drivers such as demographic characteristics and social and economic status impact the mortality improvement of the advanced age population. The paper provides both the theoretical frameworks and the application aspects of the predictive modeling process. As the result, a mortality risk score was derived in differentiating the mortality risk for the advanced age population.

Description: This paper introduces the predictive modeling tools to mortality research. The predictive modeling is applied to study how multiple risk drivers such as demographic characteristics and social and economic status impact the mortality improvement of the advanced age population. The paper provides both the theoretical frameworks and the application aspects of the predictive modeling process. As the result, a mortality risk score was derived in differentiating the mortality risk for the advanced age population.

Description: This paper addresses issues and techniques for advanced age mortality study using data mining techniques, a new technology on the horizon with great actuarial potential. Seven factors were considered in this study, the influences of these factors on advanced-age mortality distribution were identified and models were derived for projecting advanced age mortality.

Description: This paper addresses the stochastic modeling for managing asset liability process. We start with developing a jump-diffusion process for evaluating of the liabilities of the insurance company in general. We then formulate the ALM process into a stochastic control problem. With this approach, we present a Bel|man-Dreyfus Fundamental type formula for ALM process in terms of the solution of a system of algebraic equations and partial differential equations.

Description: The abstract for the paper The Effects of Advanced Age Mortality Improvement on the Valuation of Variable Annuities with Guaranteed Death Benefits.

Description: This paper studies the impact of improved advanced age mortality on the pricing and valuation issues of variable annuity contracts with guaranteed minimum death benefits. From 2005 Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph, M-LI05-1.

Description: This study addresses some aspects of the financial impact on women under the Social Security benefits reform or redistribution.

Description: In this paper,we present a method which first converges a two dimensional data to a univariate one and then uses the interval censoring technique to estimate the probability of failure of a Joint-life status from a heavily censored data. Our study shows that the life annuities of joint-life status calculated assuming independence overestimates the ones evaluated from an actual sample of population.

Description: This paper discusses both the theoretical and the application aspects of stress testing in managing enterprise risks. Effective stress testing maximizes the risk adjusted enterprise profit by controlling major risks financial, strategic, operational and hazard upon identifying risk metrics and modeling the correlations. A case study is included for demonstration purposes.