Announcement: SOA congratulates the new ASAs and CERAs for May 2024.

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  • Thinking, Fast and Slow Review
    actuary hat and consider how you engage in everyday life. Part 1: Two Systems The title of the book refers ... * * * The answer to “How happy are you with your life?” is strongly influenced by how happy you are at ...

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    • Authors: Tyson Mohr
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Strategic Insight and Integration>Influence decisions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics
  • If I only had a brain
    could have imagined that the mean estimate of total life insurance in force in the Unit- ed States a decade ... the future. Jon Deuchler summarizes an excellent report by the National Intelligence Council (NIC): “Global ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Results-Oriented Solutions>Assess decision effectiveness; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Enterprise Risk Management>Strategic risks; Enterprise Risk Management>Systematic risk; Enterprise Risk Management>Systemic risk
  • Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
    Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting By Dave Snell The group even broke up into smaller teams, in competi- tion ... complex- ity science (at the Annual Meeting 2010, Life & Annuity Symposium 2011 and Health Meeting 2011 ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • “One of the Best Kept Secrets of the SOA”
    Judgement Project,” Mary Pat describes a new type of group prediction method. In this twist on crowd wisdom ... accorded higher than average weightings for future group predictions. According to Mary Pat, this is a government ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: Communication>Persuasive communication; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis