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The Ethical Actuary—a Tautology: Never let it Become an Oxymoron!
alternatives, carry a risk of adverse health and mortality effects, is it ethical to scare a patient into ... the algorithm to protect the group of innocents. Yet in the same survey, these respondents indicated ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Aug 2021
- Competency: Communication; Professional Values
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Explainable AI
Explainable AI Machine learning models are not black-boxes; these models can easily be interpreted using ... generated. This article demonstrates their use in a mortality model. 11/18/2020 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Carlos Brioso
- Date: Nov 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Technology & Applications
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The Delphi Method
the anonymous gathering of input from a selected group of experts and the anonymous dis- semination of ... convergence of group opinion to the individual opinion of the most pow- erful member of the group. The Delphi ...- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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When Algebra Gets Chaotic
mate? In modeling, we make assumptions about mortality, morbidity, investment returns, tax rates, etc ... tragedy of 9/11. Are we all independent from a mortality perspective; or does our complex network of interrelationships ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting By Dave Snell The group even broke up into smaller teams, in competi- tion ... complex- ity science (at the Annual Meeting 2010, Life & Annuity Symposium 2011 and Health Meeting 2011 ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Actuaries: Do We Know Our Limits?
like a rope and a trunk like a hose. Perhaps, in life, we cannot see all of the attributes or depen- dencies ... supe- rior to that of a single expert or a small group of experts. In fact, Forecasting and Futurism (F&F) ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Like Peas in a Pod - Ideas in Cluster Analysis
analysis is easy to grasp conceptually. You simply “group like things together.” The fundamental algorithms ... of classifying. For instance, you might want to group people with similar health profiles together. If ...- Authors: Michael Niemerg
- Date: Apr 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Predictive Analytics
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Complexity Sciences—Simplified!
chance at them. We were asked to repeat them at the Life & Annuity Symposium in New Orleans, May 16–17, ... some applications to stock market analysis and to life itself! Genetic Algorithms—Some actuarial problems ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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The First Step in Building a Predictive Model
The First Step in Building a Predictive Model A discussion on the starting point of building a ... is a consulting actuary with experience in the life insurance and sports industries. He can be reached ...- Authors: Nathan Dennis Pohle
- Date: Dec 2018
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods