Announcement: SOA congratulates the new ASAs and CERAs for May 2024.

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  • Understanding Autoregressive Model for Time Series
    we modeled the lapse behavior of a 10-year term life policy over the level period with an AR(1) model ... Figure 1 Forecasting the lapse rate of a 10-year term life policy over a level period by the AR(1) model. The ...

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    • Authors: Dihui Lai, Bingfeng Lu
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics