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  • Predictive Modeling Techniques Applied to Quantifying Mortality Risk
    Predictive Modeling Techniques Applied to Quantifying Mortality Risk Using the Cox proportional Hazards Model ... underwriting debits and credits. Mortality risk;Longevity risk;Life expectancy;Life insurance 6442470437 7/1/2016 ...

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    • Authors: Vincent Granieri
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Underwriting - Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics
  • Chairperson's Corner
    Chairperson's Corner Anders reviews the results of a recent survey of PAF section members ... Corner Anders reviews the results of a recent survey of PAF section members and discusses initiatives ...

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    • Authors: Anders Larson
    • Date: Aug 2018
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Delphi Study In Real Time
    Delphi Study In Real Time The Delphi method was applied to several questions regarding trends ... development. The audience participated in the Delphi survey to predict how economic and demographic factors ...

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    • Authors: Paula Hodges
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Leadership>Professional network leverage; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Annuities>Marketing and distribution - Annuities; Annuities>Product development - Annuities
  • Actuarial Statistics with R: Book Review
    Actuarial Statistics with R: Book Review Reviewing a text covering multiple statistical modeling ... Asset Pricing Model;Generalized linear model;Mortality modeling;Predictive modeling;Stochastic models;Monte ...

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    • Authors: Mary Campbell
    • Date: Dec 2018
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Predictive Analytics
  • Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future
    folks may converge to one answer, but another group may settle on a different value. The Delphi study ... only a bit of background and a few items from the report; the complete study is available on the SOA website ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Are spreadsheets sabotaging your accuracy
    is founder of the Brown Smith Wallace Consulting Group. He can be contacted at sepner@bswc.com or 314 ... to errors in reasoning). In addition, there are life cycle errors that occur as spread- sheets are updated ...

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    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Strategic risks; Enterprise Risk Management>Systematic risk; Enterprise Risk Management>Systemic risk
  • Maximal Information Coefficient: An Introduction to Informat
    phe- nomenon under investigation; 2. Adjusting mortality tables in a statistically valid manner to obtain ... is as close as possible to a given standard mortality table; 3. Smoothing observed insurance data to ...

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    • Authors: Bryon Robidoux
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling
    incur very high costs in the last few months of life.1 When constructing a training data set, it would ... small sample to make predictions for a much larger group, which will exacerbate any biases you have in your ...

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    • Authors: Anders Larson
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Investigating the Future: Lessons from the 'Scene of the Crime'
    have not yet happened. Yet, when archaeologists report on what they have learned, no one doubts their ... and biases color what they notice and how they report on what they notice. They are aware, too, that ...

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    • Authors: Application Administrator
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Relationship Management>Team leadership; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • How to Get Started in Predictive Analytics
    of some real-life applications for statistical learning. (a) Describe three real-life applications ... policyholder data/re- sponse: • underwriting in life insurance—have discrete u/w classes as opposed to ...

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    • Authors: Mary Campbell
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics