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White, Gray and Black Swans
xi ty SEPTEMBER 2009 FORECASTING & FUTURISM | 17 Feedback. Agent interactions include positive and ... Pagels, 1988 WHITE, gRAY And BLACk SWAnS | fROM PAgE 17 When one is lost, any map will do This incident ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Health & Disability
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Overview of forecasting methods
relationships. Generally not used Widely used [17, 18] [19] Table 1: Overview Of fOrecasTing meThOds ... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_neural_network 17 Armstrong, J. S. (2001). Principles of Forecasting: ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
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Overview of forecasting methods
relationships. Generally not used Widely used [17, 18] [19] Table 1: Overview Of fOrecasTing meThOds ... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_neural_network 17 Armstrong, J. S. (2001). Principles of Forecasting: ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
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Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
relationships. Generally not used Widely used [17, 18] [19] CONTINUED ON PAGE 8 8 | FORECASTING ... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_neural_network 17 Armstrong, J. S. (2001). Principles of Forecasting: ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Literature Search Results for the report Complexity Science
Literature ... a. CS search terms “complexity science”: 17 hits, 2 potential resources: 2006: The changing ... NA 0 0 0 LITERATURE SEARCH RESULTS Page 17 I. SEARCH CHRONICLE CONTINUED C. INTERNET CONTINUED ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jun 2010
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics
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Should Actuaries Get Another Job? Nassim Taleb’s work and it’s significance for actuaries
learn about potential behaviors of complex systems.[17] 3. Mitigate forecast errors and their impact ... E N E R A L Risk management | MARCH 2010 | 17 predictions in order to price insurance products ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Mar 2010
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
forecasts made by experts with unaided judgment.17 BEST PRACTICES In addition to using methods that ... (2001), Chapter 5: Conjoint analysis, pages 145-167. 17 Armstrong (2001), Chapter 6: Judgmental bootstrap- ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Should Actuaries Get Another Job?
learn about potential behaviors of complex systems.17 3. MiTiGATe foreCAST errorS AND Their iMpACT Taleb’s ... Tools (2nd ed.). Berlin; New York: Springer. 17 Miller, J. H., & Page, S. E. (2007). Complex Adaptive ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Current Factors Driving Medical Pricing and Product Design
stock markets over the last couple of years. Another 17 percent are so concerned about their finances that ... Factors Driving Medical Pricing and Product Design 17 need the combination of the three. Chart ...- Authors: Alan Mills, James Murphy, Dale Yamamoto, Greta Redmond
- Date: Jun 2003
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health care
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Complexity Science – An Introduction and Invitation for Actuaries
Complexity Science – An Introduction and Invitation ... 17 For a complete description of the Turing Machine ... including itself. This is a Universal Turing Machine.17 C ur re nt s ta te C ur re nt s ym bo ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jun 2010
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods