Description: The Society's Task Force to Study Risk of Loss from Changes in the Interest Rate Environment C-3 Risk Task Force was formed in March 1981 with the charge to quantify C-3 risk. The Task Force made a preliminary report as part of a panel discussion on C-3 risk at the Society's October 1981 meeting in Atlanta. This presentation provides an update on the progress to date and its future plans.

Description: This material, Appendix I of the 1987 Valuation Actuary Handbook, is an appendix to Chapter II of the Handbook, ‘Methods of Analyzing cash Flows to Test for Reserve Adequacy.’ The author provides additional support in his appendix which discusses the theory behind MacAulay duration and provides illustrative examples.

Description: This material, Appendix II of the 1987 Valuation Actuary Handbook, is an appendix to Chapter II of the Handbook, ‘Methods of Analyzing cash Flows to Test for Reserve Adequacy.’ In this appendix, the authors provide more detail on what they call cash-flow based surplus, and how this concept can be used. It is defined as the amount of cash that could be removed and leave assets sufficient to mature all benefits on a true economic basis, i.e. ignoring statutory accounting requirements, under an assumed interest rate and experience scenario.

Description: From the 1985 Valuation Actuary Symposium Discussion of the practical application of cash flow testing in the valuation process.

Description: Presented at October 1985 Annual Meeting. Discusses risk measurement and quantification, cash-flow-based surplus, factors that affect benchmark surplus, how multiple risks can be combined for benchmark surplus, benchmark surplus and the valuation actuary, and uses of benchmark surplus formulas.

Description: Projecting start-up capital requirements for Health care co-ops and public plans

Description: This paper was published as chapter II of the 1987 Valuation Actuary Handbook. The authors discuss basic tools for analyzing cash flows, including duration, scenario testing and accumulation vs. present value approach. Discounting of cash flows is discussed including the limitations of using a level interest rate. The final section discusses discounting of interest sensitive cash flows, including a discussion of the disadvantages and advantages of duration analysis. The paper concludes that “duration analysis cannot replace traditional simulations analysis but should be seen by the valuation actuary as a valuable adjunct.”

Description: This Task Force was charged to develop and understanding and quantification of risks of loss from the combination of C-1, C-2, C-3 and C-4 risks and the implications for insurer financial management. The Task Force concluded that analysis of cash flows would be the key to addressing these matters. This report is a series of papers prepared by various individuals on cash-flow analysis approaches to addressing these issues.