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  • A Practical Method of Forecasting a Life Insurance Company's Gross Operating Earnings for the Current Year
    A Practical Method of Forecasting a Life Insurance Company's Gross Operating ... Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1955 Volume 7, Number 17. The author discusses the advantages to management ...

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    • Authors: J. Barrett Walker
    • Date: Mar 1955
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Judgmental Forecasting in Determining Policyholder Behavior Assumptions
    (EEV), International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), or some other project, the dynamic lapse assumption ... How does it impact your earnings on an EEV or IFRS basis? How does it impact your reserves on a statutory ...

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    • Authors: L Doug King
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Reinsurance News, August 2014, Issue 79
    Steve Mannik Reinsurance News | AUGUST 2014 | 17 help combat fraud, but we will never fully eliminate ... ... Interview with Steve Mannik … | FROM PAGE 17 Reinsurance News | AUGUST 2014 | 19 ReRun ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Aug 2014
    • Competency: Communication>Written communication; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills; Leadership>Influence; Leadership>Mentoring; Leadership>Thought leadership; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Reinsurance News
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Management skills; Actuarial Profession>Professional development; Demography>Longevity; Experience Studies & Data>Morbidity; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Financial Reporting & Accounting>Financial Accounting Standards Board [FASB]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>Generally Accepted Accounting Principles [GAAP]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>International Accounting Standards Board [IASB]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>International Financial Reporting Standards [IFRS]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>Statutory accounting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Pensions & Retirement>Defined benefit plans; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance; Pensions & Retirement>Pension investments & asset liability management; Pensions & Retirement>Pension legislation and regulation; Public Policy; Reinsurance>Life reinsurance; Reinsurance>General reinsurance
  • When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs
    When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs Regression to the mean is a phenomenon that ... “Sultan Kosen,” Wikipedia, last updated November 17, 2020, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sultan_K%C3%B6sen ...

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    • Authors: Tony Pistilli
    • Date: Dec 2020
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
  • Results of Tax Modeling Survey
    company-specific marginal rate which ranged from 17 percent (to reflect the small company deduction) ... carrybacks 17% 10-year spread under 807(f) 17% Separate Account Dividends Received Deduction 17% Tax ...

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    • Authors: Steven C Chamberlin
    • Date: Feb 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Taxing Times
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge
    population sizes. For example, the stylized chart on page 17 highlights the distribution of medical loss ratios ... outcomes, less JuLY 2012 FORECASTING & FUTURISM | 17 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 70 .0% ...

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Society Seminars
    Society Seminars Article Society Seminars by Adams in The Actuary, February 1979, Volume 13, Number ... 6-7, 1979 Chicago Sept. 13-14, 1979 Atlanta Sept. 17-18, 1979 Faculty: Donald D. Cody Allan B. Roby ...

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    • Authors: Warren R Adams
    • Date: Feb 1979
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
    • Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
    • Topics: Finance & Investments>Investment policy; Life Insurance; Life Insurance>Investment strategy - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Letters to the Editor Scrapping Social Security’s Intermediate Cost Projections
    Letters to the Editor Scrapping Social Security’s Intermediate Cost Projections This article ... 968 -12% -20% -30% 1997 1295 1225 1148 -6% -11% -17% 1998 1350 1297 1278 -2% -6% -7% 1999 1424 1407 1350 ...

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    • Authors: David Langer
    • Date: Mar 2004
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Pension Section News
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Social Insurance>Social Security
  • Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
    relationships. Generally not used Widely used [17, 18] [19] CONTINUED ON PAGE 8 8 | FORECASTING ... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_neural_network 17 Armstrong, J. S. (2001). Principles of Forecasting: ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Should Actuaries Get Another Job? Nassim Taleb’s work and it’s significance for actuaries
    learn about potential behaviors of complex systems.[17] 3. Mitigate forecast errors and their impact ... E N E R A L Risk management | MARCH 2010 | 17 predictions in order to price insurance products ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Mar 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting