Description: Predictive models can improve the traditional actuarial assumption-setting process. Data science techniques can provide deeper insights into experience through their ability to identify key drivers, rank importance and account for interactions. The presenters will cover ways in which companies can utilize predictive analytics to set assumptions, including the various methods available and practical approaches for implementation. They will also discuss the advantages and challenges of using predictive models for setting assumptions for life, annuity and disability products.

Description: The objective of this presentation was to evaluate the different pricing techniques as to their effectiveness in capturing and quantifying the varied risks associated with the sale and administration of life insurance and annuity products. The results of a 2002 company survey about pricing were presented in support of this objective.

Description: The presenters will share information about: -Insights into causes of death through the use of predictive models, based on a reinsured U.S. life portfolio, using logistic regression models to understand three main causes of death: cancer, heart and external causes; -Opioid abuse is a widespread phenomenon with drug-related mortality rates rising steeply in the U.S. over the past two decades. But what does the most recent data tell U.S. about the outlook for Opioid-related mortality?; -'Deaths of despair' have been publicized as a cause for the poor performance of U.S. mortality in recent years. The presenters will be looking at the different causes under this label, their evolution and explore the drivers behind them.

Description: The management of the investments of an insurance enterprise has undergone a considerable evolution since the pioneering work of Redington in the mid 20th century. Best practices have evolved to incorporate ever more complex insurance liabilities, expanding investment asset classes and global market opportunities. Strategic asset allocation (SAA), liability driven investing, and other robust optimization approaches form the core of the professional management of insurance company investments.

Description: Presented at May 2005 Spring Meeting. Explores work to study the mortality experience of the older ages, the mortality costs to the insurer if the absolute level and shape of the pricing mortality curve is incorrect and the value of underwriting with regard to select vs. ultimate mortality.

Description: This session at the SOA 2003 Washington, DC Spring Meeting presents the results of the recently completed Society of Actuaries Preferred Underwriting Survey. Panelists discuss survey methodology, results and implications for product design and pricing.

Description: This session discussion is about pricing considerations on a GAAP basis, relationship between ROI and ROE, profit objective, effect of SFAS 96 and SFAS 97 on the emergence of GAAP earnings, pre-tax versus after-tax pricing. From Record of the Society of Actuaries Vol. 15, No. 3A.

Description: This session 68 TS of the New Orleans Annual Meeting discusses profit measures such as profit margin, statutory return on investment ROI, and return on equity ROE have been used to make decisions concerning new products. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Volume 27, No. 3, Session 68TS.

Description: 1993 SOA Annual Meeting, New York. This session is about the use of cash-flow testing in product development. Topics addressed: 1. The problem of interest rate risk and its driving forces. 2. The assumptions needed for cash-flow testing. 3. The pros and cons of deterministic versus stochastic testing. 4. The economic quantities measured in cash-flow testing. 5. The the technique of market-value analysis. 6. Research done to apply modem finance theory to determine the net worth of the enterprise in a way that directly demonstrates the financial impact of embedded options in assets and liabilities. 7. The technique of market-value analysis which adopts the innovations of duration/convexity analysis and option-pricing theory and applies these concepts to insurance liabilities. 8. The application of modern finance theory to determine the net worth of the enterprise. 9. A description of different uses of the OAVDE tool.

Description: Sam Gutterman presents his paper, 'Expenses and Pricing', at this session at the SOA 1998 Maui I Spring Meeting. He discusses the need to control expenses and reflect them appropriately in pricing as vital to an insurance company' s short-term and long-term success.