Description: This paper analyzes the U. S. Treasury monthly interest rates from 1953 to 1992, and the daily rates from 1981 to 1992 for various forms of chaotic behavior. The primary analysis was in determining the Burst Exponent by the use of Rescaled Range Analysis. This paper also discusses other possible uses of Fractional Brownian Motion in Finance Theory, Macroeconomics, and Actuarial Science. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1994 VOL. 1.

Description: This interactive session provides an introduction to behavioral economics, including groups identifying areas where behavioral economics could be applied in actuarial practice. Experience a practical application workshop using behavioral economics for direct sale products. Break out into small groups and develop an outline of a BE based sales program for a product of your choosing to be sold over the internet. Gain feedback and take part in a discussion. By attending the session, you will: - Understand the basic concepts of behavioral economics. - Have some ideas of how it can be applied to actuarial practice. - Learn how to design a product using BE and how to design an experiment to test the effectiveness of an application of BE.

Description: The primary purpose of this paper is to demonstrate, through a basic stochastic projection model, how inflation might impact savings and investing for retirement.