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A Study of the Use of the Delphi Method, A Futures Research Technique for Forecasting Selected U.S. Economic Variables and Determining Rationales for Judgements
about the future of the variables: the first was direct: “What value might these variables achieve by 2024 ... demanding huge amounts of services, especially health care As is usual in the Delphi process, Round 1 results ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Appendix B Round 2 Questionnaire Study of Selected Economic Variables Using the Delphi Method - Delphi Report
Appendix ... OK). Name: Address: Phone: My primary employment is in: Government Agency ____ Insurance ... health care 5. Growth in the number of elderly and concomitant cost increase in medical care expenses ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Appendix F - Round 1 Future Developments - Delphi Report
federal promises of retirement income and medical care. 137 • Tax and Social Security changes ... critical mass in demand for age-related medical care. With this transition, it becomes possible for providers ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Appendix D - Round 2 Reasons for Projections - Delphi Report
demands for inflation-prone services like health care from retired baby boomers Expected Value ... health care • 5. Growth in the number of elderly and concomitant cost increase in medical care expenses ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Appendix C - Round 1 Reasons for Projections - Delphi Report
services pushing inflation (especially for health care) higher. Respondent 5 • I think the CPI will ... acceleration will be led by the cost of medical care. The U.S. population of older people (in or near ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting