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A Return Visit to the Sugarscape
A Return Visit to the Sugarscape This article describes the use of artificial society modeling ... of one type of agent-based modeling beyond health care, but is far from a practical application at this ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Dec 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Dark Side Of The Moon
The brave actuaries who first priced long-term care insurance lacked data on voluntary lapse rates ... very different from the near side, and long-term care lapse rates did not look much like those on life ...- Authors: Clark Ramsey
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
we did (or didn’t) predict the future of health care expenses, cause-specific death rates, employment ... The brave actuaries who first priced long-term care insurance lacked data on voluntary lapse rates ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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The Actuarial Road Not Taken - Jeff Sagarin's Sports Ratings
college football rating systems.3 Sagarin’s primary rating system predicted winners more accu- rately ... President Obama’s health care law, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, health insurers on ...- Authors: Anders Larson
- Date: Jul 2016
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Investigating the Future: Lessons from the 'Scene of the Crime'
investigators (CSIs) follow. These rules have direct parallels in helping to shape not only good crime-scene ... CSIs then get down to work. They know that their primary role is to carefully notice and document as much ...- Authors: Application Administrator
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Relationship Management>Team leadership; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Why Consider a Delphi Study?
study by the SOA was spearheaded by the Long Term Care Think Tank and published in 2014: “Land This Plane ... consensus on solutions to the nation’s long- term care financing challenges. There were widely different ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Apr 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism
good way. Yes, you put in a lot of time without direct compensation; but the result is highly rewarding ... found is a group of very involved individuals who care deeply about learning and innovating. They are ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
Economists are no different: judgment is “the primary factor that the economist uses in converting mere ... optimistic and one pessimistic scenario. The primary purpose of a scenario is to constrain judgmental ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling
from the health care world. LIMITATIONS ON PATIENTS WITH CLAIMS HISTORIES Accountable care organizations ... For instance, in a model that predicts health care costs, this time period would be used to determine ...- Authors: Anders Larson
- Date: Dec 2016
- Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
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Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias
involves the changes brought about by the Affordable Care Act or poli- cies regarding the funding of pension ... countries. Instead of using data reported by health care professionals with strict defini- tions in a consistent ...- Authors: Kurt Wrobel
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting