Description: Parables and Prophecies Prevent Predictive Prowess

Description: An introduction to the Forecasting & Futurism section's 2014 contest, where participants are encouraged to explore a forecasting application and develop it. The article discusses the contest, the scoring, and the prize.

Description: Simple Rating Systems: Entry-level sports forecasting

Description: The winner's curse, applied to Affordable Care Act plan pricing.

Description: It cam oftentimes be difficult to determine the easiest way for an SOA section member to volunteer. With our section's new focus, we will need a lot of help. This article talks through some of the more accessible places that section members can get involved.

Description: Five years is a lifetime

Description: In this continuation of our July 2013 article we explore an algorithm for evaluating Hidden Markov Models in detail. A preferred method in speech recognition technology, Hidden Markov Models are a promising technique when dealing with data you suspect may be driven by a change in a unobservable state. The example in the article is provided in an Excel workbook for the reader to follow along with.