Description: From a teaching session at the 2000 Valuation Actuary Symposium held in Washington DC, September 14-15, 2000 Discussion of realistic liability models for use in asset adequacy analysis, asset/liability management, pricing/repricing, financial reporting, or other purposes.

Description: This presentation is a Teaching Session, number 46TS, from the 2002 Valuation Actuary Symposium, held September 19-20 in Lake Buena Vista, FL. In this session, the instructor discusses simple tools and guidelines to ensure that correct inferences are drawn. The material is presented without using complex mathematical formulas. Topics include application of a normal distribution—when it is appropriate and when it is not, drawing inferences about and creating confidence intervals around tail percentile, and Monte Carlo Simulations for Regulation XXX.