Description: In this paper two theorems concerning the optimality of the perfect-fit and perfect-smoothness graduations are proved. Two examples are presented and some difficulties with regard to computational feasibility are reviewed. A discussion of the paper follows. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1978, Vol. 30.

Description: A presentation of a mathematics/statistics based approach for determining credibility factors for possible use in group health insurance premium rate setting and experience refund setting. Includes supporting mathematical proofs of approach. Followed by discussions submitted by several people

Description: The purpose of this paper is to describe the application of the Monte Carlo technique to a practical situation in a company, group term rate making. It included a discussion of some of the problems encountered and the solution to these problems. Followed by several discussion papers submitted

Description: This paper outlines a method of parametric modeling that may be used to produce forecasts and forecast intervals that will convey a measure of the reliance that may be placed on the forecasts. Followed by 2 discussion papers submitted

Description: This paper from the Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1964, Vol. 16, Pt. 1, No. 44 AB, reproduces some of Bicknell and Nesbitt's key multiple-decrement theory results by building on a statistical foundation.

Description: In this paper a new method of adjusting probabilities of death for short age interval, based on the assumption of a modification in one of the forces of decrement, is developed.

Description: The paper discusses the optimal design of dividend - or premium refund - formulas that occur in connection with group insurance contracts. Sample formulas are provided and analyzed from a statistical analysis perspective . Followed by 2 discussion papers submitted

Description: This paper discusses the Bayesian graduation method of Kimeldorf and Jones and develops methods for managing four technical problems in their method. It also includes a discussion of the paper. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1977, Vol. 29.

Description: The objective of this paper from the Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1964, Vol. 16, Pt. 1, No. 44 AB, is to illustrate some of the alternative approaches to making approximate probability statements about the present value of life annuities assuming a specified distribution of the random variable, time until death, and a fixed interest rate.